686 
FXUS64 KMOB 030805
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
305 AM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

...New MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 305 AM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

  - A few waterspouts possible over the marine area during late
    night and morning showers and storms. 

  - Heat indices continue to be in the 100 to 107 range for the
    area through the end of this week and into the weekend. 

  - Precipitation chances increase over the holiday weekend,
    especially for Sunday. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1111 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026

Once again, hot and humid conditions continue across the region. The 
upper ridge persists and is centered over eastern portions of the 
OH/TN River Valleys into the Mid-Atlantic. Heat index values 
continue to be just below the Heat Advisory threshold of 108-112, 
with maximum values of 100-107 for much of the area through mid next 
week. Drier air mixing in will aid in lowering afternoon dewpoints 
to the upper 60s and therefore heat indices for inland areas today. 
Even though we are below criteria, it is still very hot and 
uncomfortable outside with high temperatures reaching into the low 
to mid 90s. As we return to dominant southerly low level flow, the 
increase in moisture may put heat indices above Heat Advisory 
criteria at some point mid next week. There continues be little 
overnight relief with low temperatures through mid next week only 
reaching the low to mid 70s and even approaching 80 along the coast. 
Anybody outdoors should drink plenty of water and take breaks in A/C 
when possible.

Rain chances increase as we become less dominated by the strong 
ridge as it weakens some over the Atlantic and our upper level flow 
weakens. Lower PWATs of 1.5-1.7" from the end of this week begin to 
increase again starting Friday evening with the moisture return of 
southerly flow, reaching 1.9-2.1" by Sunday through mid next week. 
Beginning this weekend, will be more of a normal summertime pattern 
with daily chances for showers and thunderstorms along the sea 
breeze and resultant outflow boundaries. SS/97

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 101 AM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. /13

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 305 AM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas 
possible near thunderstorms. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      95  75  95  75 /  20   0  30  10 
Pensacola   95  79  95  79 /  10   0  30  10 
Destin      93  80  93  80 /  10   0  10  10 
Evergreen   96  74  95  72 /  10   0  30  10 
Waynesboro  96  75  96  74 /  10  10  20  20 
Camden      93  75  92  75 /  10   0  20  10 
Crestview   97  74  96  74 /  10   0  40   0 

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$