000 
TTAA00 KMKC 121836  
|MKC AC 121900  
 
CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH94O 
 
VALID 121900 - 131200Z  
 
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTN AND TNGT TO THE  
RT OF A LN FM 40 WSW LTS 20 W CSM SLN 20 W SUX RWF 30 N MSP 
20 E EAU LNR IRK 30 E MKO 80 S MLC 20 S SPS 40 WSW LTS. 
 
GEN TSTMS EXPCD TO THE RGT OF A LN FM 30 S HUM JAN BYH TBN HOT  
GGG JCT MRF TCC DRO SGU ELY OGD RKS CDR ABR 60 N TVF...CONTD... 
30 NW APN GRR FWA CMH EKN RDU NKT.  
 
AMT OF LO LVL MSTR RMNS MAIN QUESTION IN EXTENT OF SVR ACTVTY TDY.  
SLY LO LVL FLOW HAS INCRD OVR ERN OK/ERN KS AND CNVGNC HAS INCRD NR 
WRM FNTL BNDRY FM SERN NEB INTO NRN MO.  SFC DEWPTS IN THE LOW TO 
MID 60S HV POOLED OVR ERN OK/ERN KS AHD OF CD POOL AND STLT INDCS 
SM CU MOVG NWD OUT OF N TX TWDS ERN KS SUGG SOME NWD TRANSPORT OF 
ADDTNL LO LVL MSTR.  MID LVL CD AIR AND STEEP LAPSE RATE HAS DCRD 
CURRENT SFC BASED LI/S TO THE MINUS 9 RANGE JUST AHD OF FNT.  SINCE 
MSTR RMNS SOMEWHAT LIMITED...EXPC MOST SVR ACTVTY TO DVLP DURG THE  
LATE AFTN HRS AND DMNSH BY 03 TO 04Z.  FVBL SHEAR IN ASSOCN WITH  
SUBTROPICAL JET OVR OK MAY KEEP SVR ACTVTY THAT AREA CONTG LONGER 
INTO THE NGT. 
 
..HIRT.. 05/12/86