National Weather Service Raw Text Product
Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDOUN Received: 2019-03-26 19:39 UTC
086 FXUS64 KOUN 261939 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 239 PM CDT Tue Mar 26 2019 .DISCUSSION... Breezy south to southwest winds are expected Wednesday and Thursday spreading moisture back into the fa. Mid-level disturbances moving through the flow and WAA along with the moisture spreading into the area could lead to some showers/storms across portions of the fa Wednesday and Thursday although chances will be low. The highest chances for showers/storms will likely be Friday. Models have come into better agreement in regards to the upper pattern, with shortwave moving across the central Plains Friday, but they continue to show differences between each other and from run to run when it comes to the sfc pattern. This will have an impact on where and when storms could develop Friday along with the potential for any severe weather. Models now show a sfc boundary moving into parts of the area Thursday night with one or more sfc low pressure areas that could develop/move along this boundary Thu night/Friday before cold front finally moves across the entire area Friday night. So a triple point may or may not set up over portions of the fa which is what models had been showing over the last few days. The sfc boundary could also move further south Thu night then currently shown in models which would shift storm chances. Both of these things would also have impact on the severe potential. What it all boils down to is that there is still uncertainty as to the extent of storm development and severe potential Friday in the fa. Models still show a cold front moving across the area Friday night bringing cooler/colder air to the region and gusty northerly winds for Saturday. Temperatures are expected to be below normal for this time of year through at least the weekend. Freezing temperatures and frost could also be possible Saturday night/Sunday morning as the sfc high moves into the area causing winds to become light. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 47 70 55 73 / 0 10 10 10 Hobart OK 46 71 55 78 / 0 10 10 10 Wichita Falls TX 49 74 57 79 / 0 0 10 10 Gage OK 47 73 54 82 / 0 10 10 10 Ponca City OK 47 70 55 73 / 0 10 10 30 Durant OK 45 70 51 71 / 0 0 10 10 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ 30/25