National Weather Service Raw Text Product

Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDOUN Received: 2018-04-26 09:28 UTC

FXUS64 KOUN 260928

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
428 AM CDT Thu Apr 26 2018

Warmer weather is expected today. Another wave moving toward the
area in the northwest flow aloft will bring a cold front through
the area late this afternoon and evening, with a chance of some
showers, although not expected to be widespread. Some frost will
be possible in sheltered areas of northwest Oklahoma. Despite the
cold front, temperatures tomorrow will be similar to today, then 
warming each day through the weekend.

And then the pattern changes. After a mid-level ridge moves to our
east on Sunday, the area will be dominated by southwesterly flow
aloft ahead of a longwave trough developing in the western United
States. This will allow much longer-duration southerly winds and
associated moisture transport north from the Gulf, which will then
lead to the potential of storms next week. Medium range models are
coming into a bit more agreement with the timing, but it's still
too early to get too specific. But it does appear that storm
chances will begin as early as Monday with higher chances in the
middle of the week. This pattern transition will hopefully close
the book on the wildfire season (along with our recent rain 
events across western Oklahoma), but potentially open the book up 
severe weather season. Again, it's too early to get into 
specifics, but severe storms are beginning to look more likely 
next week.


Oklahoma City OK  69  46  71  46 /  10  20   0   0 
Hobart OK         73  45  73  46 /  20  30   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  74  50  74  48 /   0  20   0   0 
Gage OK           73  38  72  46 /  20  20   0   0 
Ponca City OK     70  41  71  44 /  10  20   0   0 
Durant OK         72  50  73  48 /   0  20   0   0