National Weather Service Raw Text Product

Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDOUN Received: 2019-03-26 19:39 UTC


086 
FXUS64 KOUN 261939
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
239 PM CDT Tue Mar 26 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Breezy south to southwest winds are expected Wednesday and Thursday 
spreading moisture back into the fa. Mid-level disturbances moving 
through the flow and WAA along with the moisture spreading into the 
area could lead to some showers/storms across portions of the fa 
Wednesday and Thursday although chances will be low. 

The highest chances for showers/storms will likely be Friday. Models 
have come into better agreement in regards to the upper pattern, 
with shortwave moving across the central Plains Friday, but they 
continue to show differences between each other and from run to run 
when it comes to the sfc pattern. This will have an impact on where 
and when storms could develop Friday along with the potential for 
any severe weather. Models now show a sfc boundary moving into parts 
of the area Thursday night with one or more sfc low pressure areas 
that could develop/move along this boundary Thu night/Friday before 
cold front finally moves across the entire area Friday night. So a 
triple point may or may not set up over portions of the fa which is 
what models had been showing over the last few days. The sfc 
boundary could also move further south Thu night then currently 
shown in models which would shift storm chances. Both of these 
things would also have impact on the severe potential. What it all 
boils down to is that there is still uncertainty as to the extent of 
storm development and severe potential Friday in the fa.

Models still show a cold front moving across the area Friday night 
bringing cooler/colder air to the region and gusty northerly winds 
for Saturday. Temperatures are expected to be below normal for this 
time of year through at least the weekend. Freezing temperatures and 
frost could also be possible Saturday night/Sunday morning as the 
sfc high moves into the area causing winds to become light. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  47  70  55  73 /   0  10  10  10 
Hobart OK         46  71  55  78 /   0  10  10  10 
Wichita Falls TX  49  74  57  79 /   0   0  10  10 
Gage OK           47  73  54  82 /   0  10  10  10 
Ponca City OK     47  70  55  73 /   0  10  10  30 
Durant OK         45  70  51  71 /   0   0  10  10 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

30/25