National Weather Service Raw Text Product

Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDMAF Received: 2019-03-21 11:21 UTC


300 
FXUS64 KMAF 211121
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
621 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2019

.DISCUSSION...
See 12Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions remain across all TAF sites at 12Z issuance though
there may be enough moisture along the Pecos River for several
hours of MVFR CIGs to develop. VFR conditions will return by 21Z
lasting through the end of the TAF period. 

Hennig

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 345 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...

After clearing yesterday afternoon, low clouds have returned to
much of the area as low level moisture is on the increase. 
Temperatures have fallen mostly into the 40's this morning and 
likely won't move much more before sunrise. Mid level flow will 
back to the SW today as an upper trough that moved onto the West 
Coast yesterday moves east. Moisture will back up against the 
higher terrain where a few showers and storms are possible this 
afternoon. Otherwise, the majority of the area will remain dry 
with temperatures climbing back into the 60's. 

The upper trough weakens and lifts north Friday, but not before 
bringing a good chance for rain to parts of the area. A dryline will 
develop over the higher terrain with relatively moist and cool 
conditions east of the boundary. A narrow instability axis still 
looks possible near and just east of the mountains Friday afternoon 
and shear profiles look most favorable over SE NM. Though isolated, 
this will be the best location for strong to maybe even severe 
thunderstorms as areas further east look to remain too stable. 
Models have trended down on QPF coverage as much of the upper level 
energy stays to our north. Even so, we should see at least 
scattered showers and thunderstorms along and north of I-10 Friday
evening. 

Westerly flow will bring warmer and drier conditions for the weekend 
with temperatures above normal for a change. A cold front is still 
due to arrive Monday with temperatures falling slightly. Temperatures
then warm late next week with continued dry conditions.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     69  51  68  53 /   0   0  50  50 
Carlsbad                       62  51  76  40 /  30  40  30  10 
Dryden                         70  55  74  55 /  10  10  40  40 
Fort Stockton                  67  53  75  49 /  10  20  50  30 
Guadalupe Pass                 55  47  68  43 /  30  50  20  10 
Hobbs                          64  49  67  43 /  10  30  60  40 
Marfa                          67  46  73  39 /  20  30  30  20 
Midland Intl Airport           68  51  67  51 /   0  10  60  50 
Odessa                         67  52  68  50 /   0  10  60  40 
Wink                           68  53  69  46 /  10  30  50  30 

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/10