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PIL:
Start UTC Date @0z:
End UTC Date @0z:
000 
FXHW60 PHFO 151321
AFDHI 

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 AM HST THU JUL 15 2004

.SYNOPSIS...AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THE MAIN 
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WILL KEEP FRESH TRADES BLOWING THROUGH THE 
FORECAST PERIOD. SHOWERS EMBEDDED IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW WILL AFFECT 
MAINLY THE WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN AREAS...PARTICULARLY KAUAI WHERE 
REMNANTS FROM AN OLD SHEAR LINE BRUSHES THAT ISLAND. AN MID LEVEL 
LOW WILL ALSO MAKE THINGS A LITTLE WETTER THAN NORMAL FOR OAHU AND 
MOLOKAI EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SOME 700 NM NORTH OF KAUAI 
WILL CONTINUE TO SERVE AS THE MAIN ATTRACTION FOR OUR WEATHER FOR 
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE HIGHS NEARLY STATIONARY POSTURE INTO THE 
WEEKEND MEANS THE TRADES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. 
THE CURRENT MODERATE TRADES WILL SLACK OFF SLIGHTLY SUNDAY AS A 
MID LEVEL LOW STARTS INFLUENCING OUR WEATHER. LATEST GFE MODEL RUN 
HAS THE LOW JUST OFF CAPE KUMUKAHI OF THE BIG ISLAND EARLY SUNDAY 
EVENING. THE LOW THEN DRIFTS WEST TO OAHU BY MONDAY AFTERNOON 
BEFORE LIFTING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST LATER THAT NIGHT. IT NOW APPEAR  
OAHU AND MAUI COUNTY WILL FEEL THE BRUNT OF THE LOW WITH SCATTERED 
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM OVER THE 
WINDWARD WATERS OF THESE TWO ISLANDS.

FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS HOWEVER...EXPECT THE TRADE SHOWERS TO 
PERSIST WITH KAUAI BEING THE MAIN BENEFICIARY FROM THESE SHOWERS. 
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE ORGANIZED SHOWER BAND FROM 
EARLIER HAS BECOME FRAGMENTED BUT STILL CONTINUING TO ADVANCE 
TOWARDS KAUAI. THE TIMING FOR ITS ARRIVAL IS AROUND MID DAY. THE 
REMNANTS OF ANOTHER SHEAR LINE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF KAUAI 
SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...SWELL DATA FROM BUOY 51028 NEAR THE EQUATOR AND SOUTH OF 
THE BIG ISLAND INDICATES A SLOW RISE WITH THE SOUTH SWELL. THE SWELL 
ROSE ONLY ONE FOOT SINCE 7 PM TO 7 FEET IN THE PAST HOUR OR TWO.  
NEVER THE LESS IT LOOKS LIKE THE PEAK WILL COME SATURDAY. WHETHER 
THE SURF WILL WARRANT A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS TO BE SEEN. IT 
APPEARS THAT IT WILL AT THIS TIME.

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$
LAU

EFFECTIVE 800 AM HST...JULY 15...2004...AFDHI WILL BE ISSUED AS 
AFDHFO. THE WMO HEADING FXHW60 PHFO WILL REMAIN THE SAME.
000 
FXHW60 PHFO 151323 CCA
AFDHI 

HAWAIIAN ISLANDS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 AM HST THU JUL 15 2004

.SYNOPSIS...AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THE MAIN 
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WILL KEEP FRESH TRADES BLOWING THROUGH THE 
FORECAST PERIOD. SHOWERS EMBEDDED IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW WILL AFFECT 
MAINLY THE WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN AREAS...PARTICULARLY KAUAI WHERE 
REMNANTS FROM AN OLD SHEAR LINE BRUSHES THAT ISLAND. A MID LEVEL 
LOW WILL ALSO MAKE THINGS A LITTLE WETTER THAN NORMAL FOR OAHU AND 
MAUI COUNTY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SOME 700 NM NORTH OF KAUAI 
WILL CONTINUE TO SERVE AS THE MAIN ATTRACTION FOR OUR WEATHER FOR 
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE HIGHS NEARLY STATIONARY POSTURE INTO THE 
WEEKEND MEANS THE TRADES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. 
THE CURRENT MODERATE TRADES WILL SLACK OFF SLIGHTLY SUNDAY AS A 
MID LEVEL LOW STARTS INFLUENCING OUR WEATHER. LATEST GFE MODEL RUN 
HAS THE LOW JUST OFF CAPE KUMUKAHI OF THE BIG ISLAND EARLY SUNDAY 
EVENING. THE LOW THEN DRIFTS WEST TO OAHU BY MONDAY AFTERNOON 
BEFORE LIFTING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST LATER THAT NIGHT. IT NOW APPEAR  
OAHU AND MAUI COUNTY WILL FEEL THE BRUNT OF THE LOW WITH SCATTERED 
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM OVER THE 
WINDWARD WATERS OF THESE TWO ISLANDS.

FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS HOWEVER...EXPECT THE TRADE SHOWERS TO 
PERSIST WITH KAUAI BEING THE MAIN BENEFICIARY FROM THESE SHOWERS. 
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE ORGANIZED SHOWER BAND FROM 
EARLIER HAS BECOME FRAGMENTED BUT STILL CONTINUING TO ADVANCE 
TOWARDS KAUAI. THE TIMING FOR ITS ARRIVAL IS AROUND MID DAY. THE 
REMNANTS OF ANOTHER SHEAR LINE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF KAUAI 
SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...SWELL DATA FROM BUOY 51028 NEAR THE EQUATOR AND SOUTH OF 
THE BIG ISLAND INDICATES A SLOW RISE WITH THE SOUTH SWELL. THE SWELL 
ROSE ONLY ONE FOOT SINCE 7 PM TO 7 FEET IN THE PAST HOUR OR TWO.  
NEVER THE LESS IT LOOKS LIKE THE PEAK WILL COME SATURDAY. WHETHER 
THE SURF WILL WARRANT A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS TO BE SEEN. IT 
APPEARS THAT IT WILL AT THIS TIME.

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$
LAU

EFFECTIVE 800 AM HST...JULY 15...2004...AFDHI WILL BE ISSUED AS 
AFDHFO. THE WMO HEADING FXHW60 PHFO WILL REMAIN THE SAME.