National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product AFDBRO
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: AFDBRO
Product Timestamp: 2025-09-11 03:32 UTC
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071 FXUS64 KBRO 110332 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1032 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1021 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025 -Daily rain chances continue into next week. -Heat Risk will be Minor (level 1 out of 4) through the middle of next week with a few isolated areas of Moderate (level 2 our of 4). && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1021 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025 An unsettled weather pattern continues across Deep South Texas due to a lingering stationary boundary, ample moisture, and weak impulses moving over the region. Best timing for any shower or thunderstorm activity will be late morning into the early evening. NBM continues to overdo precipitation chances over the next few days so have once again lowered to the 20-50% range through the remainder of the workweek. As we head into the weekend the aforementioned boundary finally exits the region but a coastal trough begins to set up along the Mexican coast expanding to the lower Texas coast next week. This will keep low to medium rain chances in the forecast through Thursday. Temperatures will remain near normal each day with heat indices of 100 to 105. Heat Risk will be generally Minor (level 1 out of 4) with pockets of Moderate (level 2 out of 4), mainly across the lower and mid Valley, for the forecast period. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 613 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025 VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Could still see an isolated shower or thunderstorm this evening, especially near KMFE. Rain should end later this evening, but spotty showers and thunderstorms will redevelop Thursday morning and with low confidence on exact location of this activity included VCSH and VCTS in for Thursday. If and showers or thunderstorms do move directly over the aerodromes, brief MVFR conditions will be possible. && .MARINE... Issued at 1021 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025 Generally favorable conditions with mostly light to moderate winds and seas of 2 to 4 feet. Rain and thunderstorm chances will continue on the waters off the lower Texas coast. Any shower or thunderstorm activity will lead to localized increased winds and seas. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 78 92 78 91 / 50 50 40 60 HARLINGEN 75 94 74 93 / 30 40 30 50 MCALLEN 78 96 77 95 / 30 50 20 70 RIO GRANDE CITY 75 96 75 95 / 20 40 20 70 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 81 88 81 87 / 50 40 60 60 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 78 91 77 90 / 40 30 60 60 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/MARINE/AVIATION...68