837 
FXUS62 KFFC 150930
AFDATL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
530 AM EDT TUE JUN 15 2004

.SHORT TERM...AREA OF HEAVY SHOWERS HAS BEEN MOVING FROM NORTHERN 
ATLANTA SUBURBS INTO THE NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT. MOST OF THIS 
SHOULD MOVE INTO NC/TN BY DAYBREAK. WITH UPPER LOW OVER SOUTHEAST TX 
AND RIDGE JUST TO OUR EAST...STILL A GOOD FEED OF TROPICAL MOISTURE 
WITH PRECIP WATER ABOVE 2 INCHES. SOME SURROUNDING OFFICES HOISTING 
FLOOD WATCHES...BUT MOST OF OUR COUNTIES...WITH A VERY FEW 
EXCEPTIONS...ARE NOT UNUSUALLY WET. WILL MENTION RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES 
FOR THE NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS. WILL RAISE MAX TEMPS A LITTLE ABOVE GFS 
MOS FOR TODAY...AS ANY BREAKS IN CLOUDS WILL WARM THINGS UP 
QUICKLY...AS EVIDENCED YESTERDAY IN SOME 90 DEGREES PLUS READINGS. 
STILL WOULD EXPECT MORE CLOUDS THAN YESTERDAY TO HOLD TEMPERATURES 
DOWN BELOW NORMAL. UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE STATE 
WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUES INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL LOWER RAIN 
CHANCES FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS INFLUENCE OF TROPICAL SYSTEM 
DIMINISHES. WITH MORE SUN...TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TO NEAR NORMAL 
WEDNESDAY AND EVEN WARMER THURSDAY. 

.LONG TERM...HIGH MOISTURE SEEMS TRAPPED OVER THE STATE WITH PRECIP 
WATER REMAINING ABOVE 1.5 INCHES INTO THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER WITH 
RIDGE ABOVE US...SHOULD BE AT LEAST A WEAK CAP...SO RAIN CHANCES OF 
30 PERCENT IN THE FORECAST LOOKS OK. 
&&

.HYDROLOGY...AS NOTED ABOVE...DO NOT EXPECT ANY MAJOR PROBLEMS FROM 
FLOODING...THOUGH ISOLATED HEAVY AMOUNTS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. 
&&

.AVIATION...
HEAVY SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AREA EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON 
ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. SHOULD SEE SHOWERS BEGIN TO POP UP 
ACROSS THE AREA AFTER 14Z TODAY AS GOOD TROPICAL MOISTURE IS ACROSS 
THE STATE. WILL INTRODUCE SHRA/TSRA INTO TAFS AFTER 16Z AS THEY 
SHOULD BECOME MORE NUMEROUS BY THEN. FOG AND STRATUS SEEM TO BE 
MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE THIS 
MORNING. EXPECTING IT TO CONTINUE TO SPREAD AND BE ACROSS ALL TAF 
SITES BY 12Z. THE LOW CEILINGS AND FOG SHOULD BURN OFF BY 14Z. WITH 
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE STATE CEILINGS SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 
MVFR CATEGORY THROUGH 18Z EVEN AFTER FOG HAS LIFTED. AFTER THAT 
CEILINGS SHOULD GET ABOVE 3000FT. VSBYS WILL GET ABOVE 6SM AFTER 14Z 
WHEN THE FOG LIFTS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING 
INCREASING OUT OF THE S TO SE AROUND 5 TO 10 KTS AFTER 14Z.

AVIATION USERS. PLEASE TAKE A MOMENT AND GIVE US SOME FEEDBACK ON 
THIS PRODUCT BY LETTING US KNOW...DO YOU USE THIS PRODUCT AND 
HOW...SUGGESTED AREAS OF IMPROVEMENT AND ANY OTHER WAYS WE MAY 
BETTER SERVE YOU. PLEASE FORWARD YOUR COMMENTS TO OUR WEB MASTER AT 
SR-FFC.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV. THANK YOU
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATLANTA     82 72 87 72 / 70 40 40 30
ATHENS      83 71 89 70 / 70 40 40 30
GAINESVILLE 81 71 86 69 / 70 40 40 30
ROME        82 71 89 70 / 70 40 40 30
COLUMBUS    84 73 89 72 / 60 40 50 30
MACON       84 73 89 72 / 60 40 50 30
&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

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