National Weather Service Raw Text Product

Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDAMA Received: 2018-07-22 05:04 UTC


890 
FXUS64 KAMA 220504
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1204 AM CDT Sun Jul 22 2018

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF Cycle

VFR conditions expected at all three TAF sites through 06Z Monday.
South to southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming 10 to 20 knots
with some gusts to 25 knots after 14Z to 16Z Sunday. At the Guymon
and Dalhart TAF sites, the winds will shift to the north and
northeast 15 to 25 knots with gusts to 30 knots after 02Z to 04Z
Monday.

Schneider

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 719 PM CDT Sat Jul 21 2018/ 

AVIATION...
00Z Issuance...All sites should be VFR through the period.
Southwest flow will prevail with winds around 10-15 kts. Not
expecting storms in the northwest to hit TAF sites.

Beat

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 304 PM CDT Sat Jul 21 2018/ 

DISCUSSION...
Heat, heat, and more heat continue to be the main headlines which
will continue throughout the weekend. We urge everyone to continue
to practice heat safety while outdoors in this extreme heat. 
Temperatures currently are ranging from the mid to upper 90s 
across the Oklahoma Panhandle with a slightly "cooler" easterly 
component to the wind to many areas in the Texas Panhandle between
100-107. We will have one more day tomorrow of above average 
temperatures where most areas will once again be between 100-109 
degrees as H850 average temperatures on the latest hi-res model 
guidance continue to show 31-35C. The main high pressure aloft 
will begin to shift west the second half of Sunday toward the Four
Corners Region, which will allow H500 winds to shift to 
northwesterly. As a result, a cold front will begin to move 
southeast into the Panhandles, and in the wake of the cold front, 
a brief window of gusty northwesterly winds is possible, 
especially across the western and northwestern Panhandles. A 
surface trough will develop across southwestern Kansas on Sunday 
and displace south into the region as pressure quickly rise 
behind the front following the trough in-conjunction with a 
disturbance looking to move into the region back across northeast 
New Mexico. Going into the early morning hours on Monday behind 
the front, a low pressure perturbation along the mean mid level 
anti-cyclonic flow will move into the northwestern Panhandles and 
bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially across the
northern Panhandles. Otherwise, temperatures behind the front 
will finally cool off back into the lower to mid 90's, closer to 
average.

Starting Monday night throughout the remainder of the week,
several chances of diurnal convection will bring precipitation
chances to most of the Panhandles region with persistent mid level
northwesterly flow. Depending on the placement of mid level 
disturbance and initial convection development across the high 
terrain of Colorado and New Mexico, chances of thunderstorms for 
location may vary from day to day. Best chances consistently will 
be across the northern and western Panhandles. Some thunderstorms
maybe strong at times with gusty winds and heavy rainfall, but
further details of precipitation specifics will be better
understood as we get closer to next week. High temperatures will
continue to be near to slightly above normal through next week.

Meccariello

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

11/24