192 
FXUS64 KAMA 302335
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
635 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1242 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

 -Rain chances after today return for Sunday and Monday, with some
  thunderstorms possible.

 -Winds on Monday and Tuesday behind a cold front may gust over 50
  mph at times. 

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 1242 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

Rain continues to overspread the area moving south to north across
the Panhandles. Latest 18Z obs show highest daily rainfall totals
in the SE TX Panhandle from over half an inch to approaching one
inch of rainfall so far. In this slowly progressive broad H500
sinusoidal pattern across the western 2/3 CONUS, the first of two
distinct wave currently moving through will be followed by a 
second wave, from latest satellite analysis, is centered over 
eastern Arizona. This second wave that will traverse the far 
southern Rockies is moving more northeasterly. As a result, more 
scattered rain showers expected with this second wave, with some 
light additional rainfall amounts, not as much as what we are 
currently seeing across the area. With the overall atmospheric 
profile saturated with moisture, during the overnight period, low
clouds and even some areas of fog may develop, and may linger 
through most of Saturday morning. By Saturday afternoon, mostly 
dry conditions should return through Saturday night with partly to
mostly cloudy skies. Temperatures on Saturday will range from the
lower 60s in the eastern Panhandles to mid 60s in the western 
Panhandles. 

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 1242 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

The main southern stream sinusoidal H500 pattern should continue
throughout the remainder of the long term forecast period. This
will result in additional rain chances going through early next
week. Another low pressure system, as of the latest 30/12Z model
and numerical data should move east over the Panhandles. Rain
chances will return Sunday night through Tuesday, with some
potentially strong wind gusts in the wake of the main system and
its cold front that will move through the region. Higher probs
(20-50%) favor wind gusts at or over 50 mph mainly for the
northern Panhandles on Monday and Tuesday, and will watch trends
closely. Temperatures will be near average for early November for
Sunday and Monday, before dropping off to below average Tuesday
through Thursday of next week. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 627 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

Lingering showers and low ceilings will make for messy TAFs over
the next 24 hrs at all sites. Rain is still holding on at KDHT and
KGUY, while KAMA is beginning to clear out. Additional spotty
showers may re-develop through the evening hours. Ceilings are 
VFR at KAMA and KGUY for now, but cloud decks will likely drop as
low as IFR to LIFR at all sites through the night. We will be 
monitoring for patchy fog as well, with 10-30% chances for 
visibilities to drop below 1 mile through the morning hours. 
Ceilings will lift to VFR towards the end of the period. Winds 
will stay out of the south at 10-15 kts with slightly higher gusts
at times. 

Harrel

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...38