AFOS product AFDAMA
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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDAMA
Product Timestamp: 2025-12-24 17:26 UTC

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FXUS64 KAMA 241726
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1126 AM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1123 AM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

- Elevated fire weather is forecast today through the end of the 
  week due to breezy winds and dry conditions.

- Well above average high temperatures, and potentially record
  breaking highs, are forecast through the beginning of this
  upcoming weekend.

- Cooler temperatures are expected for the later half of this 
  weekend into early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday night)
Issued at 1123 AM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

Warm and dry days will continue for Christmas Eve and Christmas day. 
Record breaking highs are possible both today and tomorrow as dry 
air continues to filter in and high pressure remains in place over 
the High Plains. Highs can be expected to be in the 70s to 
potentially mid 80s for some areas on both days. West to southwest 
winds today will bring the potential for elevated fire weather 
conditions to the entire area. That trend continues on Christmas 
day, with winds being a bit stronger. Thankfully, surface humidity 
should be a bit higher than today so critical fire weather 
conditions are not currently forecast. The warm conditions will 
continue tonight with lows mainly in the 40s and the record warm low 
on Christmas in Amarillo may also be broken in addition to the 
record high.

Muscha

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1123 AM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

The strong high pressure ridge will begin to flatten late this week 
into Saturday as a trough extending from the Canadian Prairie 
Provinces down to Southern California slowly moves east towards the 
Rockies. Before the southern periphery of the trough moves over the 
region on Sunday, temperatures will almost certainly remain about 15-
20 degrees above average in the 70s to low 80s across the 
Panhandles. Breezy west to southwest winds may lead to continued 
elevated fire weather conditions on these days as well.

As the upper level trough begins to move across the Plains Saturday 
night into Sunday, a cold front will propel south over the Plains 
and should be through the entire area by late morning on Sunday. For 
those of us that would rather have some winter weather, this cold 
front will be highly anticipated as temperatures will be much, much 
colder behind the front. Highs on Sunday are uncertain as they will 
be highly dependent on the speed of the front, but current 
speculation is that the NBM is likely way too high as per usual with 
these sudden air mass changes. The cold air mass should remain in 
place on Monday but beyond that is uncertain as model guidance 
varies in the exact upper level pattern. Temperatures will likely 
warm up a bit going into the middle of next week, but highs 
returning to the 70s or warmer appears highly unlikely at this point.

Muscha

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1123 AM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

VFR conditions will continue with this TAF cycle. Winds will
mainly be out of the southwest around 10-15 kts with higher gusts
towards the end of this 24 hour period. High clouds will remain in
place over the region.

Muscha

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...05