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Displaying AFOS PIL: SWOMCD Product Timestamp: 2003-05-05 21:27 UTC
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841 ACUS11 KWNS 052127 SWOMCD SPC MCD 052127 MIZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-060000- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0769 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0427 PM CDT MON MAY 05 2003 AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AND ERN MI CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL VALID 052127Z - 060000Z A FEW SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SERN MI THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT. THE AREA IS BEING CONSIDERED FOR A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH. LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS SURFACE LOW OVER S CENTRAL MI...WHICH IS ACTING AS A FOCUS FOR DEVELOPMENT. UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60 DEWPOINTS ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S F IS PRODUCING MLCAPES VALUES UP TO 1000 J/KG. VERY COLD AIR ALOFT EXISTS WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES...SUGGESTING AN ENHANCED THREAT OF LARGE HAIL WITH THE LONGEST LIVED STORMS. ISOLATED SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED...GIVEN 0-3 KM SRH UP TO 300 M2/S2 AND MODERATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR. ..JEWELL.. 05/05/2003 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...GRR... 41808578 42258541 42948489 43238466 43588390 43398314 43198254 42828264 41718315 41638363 41588499