383 
FNUS72 KMLB 180801
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Jordan 6,7...Brevard EEL
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
401 AM EDT Wed Jun 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on June 18. 
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

There are no fire weather concerns near the burn site today. 
Minimum RH values remain well above critical thresholds at 60 to
65 percent. Light southerly winds are forecast this morning,
becoming southeasterly and increasing to 10 to 15 mph as the east
coast sea breeze develops and moves inland over the burn site.
Gusts to 20 mph will be possible at times. Afternoon smoke 
dispersion values are forecast to be fair to good. Mostly dry 
conditions are anticipated near the burn site, though there is a 
low chance (20 percent) for an isolated shower or storm. However, 
confidence in any development remains low. There continues to be 
no fire weather concerns on Thursday, with relatively similar 
weather conditions. Slightly greater rain chances are forecast on 
Thursday (30 percent), but confidence still remains low in 
development near the burn site.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers 
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......20 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 89. 
Min humidity........65 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic 
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the 
                    afternoon. 
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 3000 ft AGL in the 
                    late morning and afternoon. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 13 mph increasing to 15 to 18 
                    mph late in the afternoon. 
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 42. 
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 2. 

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........18  16  15  22  29  22  32  19  22  18  16  
Weather cov.....                            SCH             
Weather type....                            RW              
Tstm cov........                            SCH             
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  10  10  10  
Temp............76  79  82  85  86  87  88  87  87  88  87  
RH..............93  86  80  72  70  68  66  67  67  65  66  
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   9   12  14  14  14  14  14  
20 FT wind gust.10  9   10  12  14  16  18  20  20  20  18  
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.9 2.2 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  10  10  12  13  15  16  16  18  
Dispersion idx..4   10  27  32  32  36  34  37  39  39  42  
LVORI...........7   5   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). 
Chance of pcpn......10 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 76. 
Max humidity........93 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 14 mph shifting to the 
                    south around 5 mph after 3 am. 
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 17 mph shifting to the south 8 
                    to 14 mph overnight. 
Dispersion index....38 decreasing to 5. 
LVORI...............2 increasing to 6. 

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
Sky (%).........14     32     26     27     16     11     
Weather cov.....                                          
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
Tstm cov........                                          
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      10     0      0      
Temp............87     83     81     80     79     77     
RH..............68     76     81     84     86     91     
20 ft wind......SE 14  SE 10  SE 9   SE 7   S 6    S 5    
20 ft wind gust.20     17     15     13     10     8      
Mix hgt (ft)....2200   700    700    700    500    500    
Transport wind..E 17   SE 17  SE 16  S 15   S 12   S 9    
Dispersion idx..38     12     11     8      6      5      
LVORI...........2      4      4      4      5      6      

.JUNETEENTH...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and 
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon. 
Chance of pcpn......30 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 89. 
Min humidity........67 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the morning 
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast 5 to 14 
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty 
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms 
                    late in the afternoon. 
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 2600 ft AGL late in 
                    the morning. 
Transport winds.....South 6 to 9 mph shifting to the east 12 to 13 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 36. 
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 2. 

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   
Sky (%).........25     11     19     21     26     32     
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE 
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR 
Tstm cov........                            CHANCE CHANCE 
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     30     30     
Temp............76     79     84     87     87     87     
RH..............93     85     73     68     67     67     
20 ft wind......S 5    S 3    SE 6   SE 9   E 13   SE 13  
20 ft wind gust.8      7      9      13     18     20     
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1000   2000   2500   2600   2400   
Transport wind..S 7    S 7    S 7    SE 9   E 13   E 13   
Dispersion idx..3      8      18     29     35     36     
LVORI...........6      5      3      3      2      2      

$$
Forecaster...Tollefsen
Requested by...Evan Hall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2516135.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Evan.Hall@brevardfl.gov