383 FNUS72 KMLB 180801 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for Jordan 6,7...Brevard EEL National Weather Service Melbourne FL 401 AM EDT Wed Jun 18 2025 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on June 18. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... There are no fire weather concerns near the burn site today. Minimum RH values remain well above critical thresholds at 60 to 65 percent. Light southerly winds are forecast this morning, becoming southeasterly and increasing to 10 to 15 mph as the east coast sea breeze develops and moves inland over the burn site. Gusts to 20 mph will be possible at times. Afternoon smoke dispersion values are forecast to be fair to good. Mostly dry conditions are anticipated near the burn site, though there is a low chance (20 percent) for an isolated shower or storm. However, confidence in any development remains low. There continues to be no fire weather concerns on Thursday, with relatively similar weather conditions. Slightly greater rain chances are forecast on Thursday (30 percent), but confidence still remains low in development near the burn site. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 89. Min humidity........65 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 3000 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 13 mph increasing to 15 to 18 mph late in the afternoon. Dispersion index....4 increasing to 42. LVORI...............7 decreasing to 2. TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........18 16 15 22 29 22 32 19 22 18 16 Weather cov..... SCH Weather type.... RW Tstm cov........ SCH Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 10 10 10 Temp............76 79 82 85 86 87 88 87 87 88 87 RH..............93 86 80 72 70 68 66 67 67 65 66 20 FT wind dir..S S SE SE SE SE E E SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 7 9 12 14 14 14 14 14 20 FT wind gust.10 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 20 20 18 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.9 2.2 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 Transp wind dir.S S S S SE SE SE E SE SE SE Transp wind spd.8 9 10 10 10 12 13 15 16 16 18 Dispersion idx..4 10 27 32 32 36 34 37 39 39 42 LVORI...........7 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Min temperature.....Around 76. Max humidity........93 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 14 mph shifting to the south around 5 mph after 3 am. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 17 mph shifting to the south 8 to 14 mph overnight. Dispersion index....38 decreasing to 5. LVORI...............2 increasing to 6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........14 32 26 27 16 11 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 0 10 0 0 Temp............87 83 81 80 79 77 RH..............68 76 81 84 86 91 20 ft wind......SE 14 SE 10 SE 9 SE 7 S 6 S 5 20 ft wind gust.20 17 15 13 10 8 Mix hgt (ft)....2200 700 700 700 500 500 Transport wind..E 17 SE 17 SE 16 S 15 S 12 S 9 Dispersion idx..38 12 11 8 6 5 LVORI...........2 4 4 4 5 6 .JUNETEENTH... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....Around 89. Min humidity........67 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the morning becoming light, then becoming southeast 5 to 14 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 2600 ft AGL late in the morning. Transport winds.....South 6 to 9 mph shifting to the east 12 to 13 mph in the afternoon. Dispersion index....3 increasing to 36. LVORI...............6 decreasing to 2. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........25 11 19 21 26 32 Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ CHANCE CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 30 30 Temp............76 79 84 87 87 87 RH..............93 85 73 68 67 67 20 ft wind......S 5 S 3 SE 6 SE 9 E 13 SE 13 20 ft wind gust.8 7 9 13 18 20 Mix hgt (ft)....500 1000 2000 2500 2600 2400 Transport wind..S 7 S 7 S 7 SE 9 E 13 E 13 Dispersion idx..3 8 18 29 35 36 LVORI...........6 5 3 3 2 2 $$ Forecaster...Tollefsen Requested by...Evan Hall Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2516135.0/MLB .DELDT 06/18/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Evan.Hall@brevardfl.gov