National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product FWSPHI
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: FWSPHI
Product Timestamp: 2024-11-05 22:01 UTC
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661
FNUS71 KPHI 052201
FWSPHI
Spot Forecast for Drake Fire...NJFFS
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
501 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EST on November 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
While it will remain dry for the rest of today, and southwest
winds will increase to 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to
20 mph in the afternoon, MinRH values this afternoon will be
between 55-60% due to dew points in the mid 50s to near 60.
Similar conditions can be expected on Wednesday, though
southwest winds will be a bit stronger near 10-15 mph with gusts
up to 25 mph.
Looking farther ahead, the next period of low relative humidity
is expected to occur on Friday and Saturday, when daytime
minimum values will range from 30-35% in most areas.
Fortunately, winds will remain fairly light during this period,
mainly near 5-10 mph.
Continue to follow burn restrictions and check with your state
and local fire officials for more information.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-60%).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........95 to 100 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4900 knot-ft).
ADI.................8 to 13.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........7 26 13 24 27 29 40 58 61 62 66 61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............67 64 62 61 61 60 60 60 59 59 58 58
RH..............70 78 84 90 90 93 93 93 93 90 93 93
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..9 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 9
20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17
Eye lvl wnd dir.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4
Transp wind dir.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.13 14 14 16 15 16 16 15 15 14 15 15
ADI.............8 9 9 11 10 11 11 13 13 12 13 13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 5 5 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 6
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........50 to 55 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds increasing to 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 25 mph decreasing to around 10 to 20
mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6000 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (61400 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
ADI.................11 early in the morning increasing to 73 in the
afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds increasing to 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
in the late morning and afternoon.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........63 61 61 55 52 60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............58 62 69 77 80 80
RH..............93 90 76 58 51 51
20 ft wind......SW 9 SW 10 SW 12 SW 12 SW 12 SW 9
20 ft wind gust.16 16 20 21 23 21
Eye level wind..SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 SW 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.10 10 12 13 14 13
Mix hgt (ft)....500 1100 2000 2700 3200 1800
Transport wind..SW 14 SW 17 SW 22 SW 23 SW 22 SW 17
ADI.............11 24 54 70 73 39
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 17 38 55 61 27
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR FAIR GOOD POOR
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind shift..........Winds gradually going from southwesterly to westerly
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2000 knot-ft).
ADI.................3 to 8.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
west around 5 mph early in the evening.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM
Sky (%).........68 50 63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 0 10
Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 10
LAL.............1 1 1
Temp............72 67 63
RH..............66 81 90
20 FT wind......SW 7G12 SW 3G8 W 2G6
Eye level wind..SW 4G7 SW 2G5 W 1G4
Mix hgt (ft)....500 400 400
Transport wind..SW 12 SW 9 W 8
ADI.............8 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 3 3
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers in the morning.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........40 to 45 percent.
Wind shift..........Light westerly winds in the morning will become northwesterly by midday.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20
mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (52400 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 73 in the
afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest up to 10 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
Sky (%).........72 63 46
Weather cov..... S CHC
Weather type....NONE RNSHWR NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 20 10
Chc of pcpn (%).10 20 10
LAL.............1 1 1
Temp............58 70 72
RH..............100 71 48
20 FT wind......W 2G6 NW 6G9 NW 7G13
Eye level wind..W 1G4 NW 4G5 NW 4G8
Mix hgt (ft)....300 2200 3400
Transport wind..NW 7 NW 12 W 16
ADI.............6 32 68
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2 22 49
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR FAIR
$$
Forecaster...Hoeflich
Requested by...M. Miller
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2425643.4/PHI
.DELDT 11/05/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL njffsapsc3@gmail.com,george.efinger@dep.nj.gov,clancy.ryan45@gmail.com,eric.weber@dep.nj.gov,michael.emmerich@dep.nj.gov,christopher.franek@dep.nj.gov