661 FNUS71 KPHI 052201 FWSPHI Spot Forecast for Drake Fire...NJFFS National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 501 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EST on November 05. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... While it will remain dry for the rest of today, and southwest winds will increase to 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon, MinRH values this afternoon will be between 55-60% due to dew points in the mid 50s to near 60. Similar conditions can be expected on Wednesday, though southwest winds will be a bit stronger near 10-15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Looking farther ahead, the next period of low relative humidity is expected to occur on Friday and Saturday, when daytime minimum values will range from 30-35% in most areas. Fortunately, winds will remain fairly light during this period, mainly near 5-10 mph. Continue to follow burn restrictions and check with your state and local fire officials for more information. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-60%). CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 57. Max humidity........95 to 100 percent. Wind shift..........None expected. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4900 knot-ft). ADI.................8 to 13. Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........7 26 13 24 27 29 40 58 61 62 66 61 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............67 64 62 61 61 60 60 60 59 59 58 58 RH..............70 78 84 90 90 93 93 93 93 90 93 93 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..9 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 9 20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 Eye lvl wnd dir.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Eye lvl wnd spd.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 5 Eye lvl wnd gst.9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 Transp wind dir.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.13 14 14 16 15 16 16 15 15 14 15 15 ADI.............8 9 9 11 10 11 11 13 13 12 13 13 Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 5 5 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 6 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 80. Min humidity........50 to 55 percent. Wind shift..........None expected. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds increasing to 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 25 mph decreasing to around 10 to 20 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (61400 knot-ft) in the afternoon. ADI.................11 early in the morning increasing to 73 in the afternoon. Eye level winds.....Southwest winds increasing to 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........63 61 61 55 52 60 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............58 62 69 77 80 80 RH..............93 90 76 58 51 51 20 ft wind......SW 9 SW 10 SW 12 SW 12 SW 12 SW 9 20 ft wind gust.16 16 20 21 23 21 Eye level wind..SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 SW 5 Eye lvl wnd gst.10 10 12 13 14 13 Mix hgt (ft)....500 1100 2000 2700 3200 1800 Transport wind..SW 14 SW 17 SW 22 SW 23 SW 22 SW 17 ADI.............11 24 54 70 73 39 Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 17 38 55 61 27 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR FAIR GOOD POOR .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 58. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind shift..........Winds gradually going from southwesterly to westerly Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph early in the evening becoming light. Mixing height.......300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2000 knot-ft). ADI.................3 to 8. Eye level winds.....Southwest winds up to 5 mph shifting to the west around 5 mph early in the evening. TIME (EST) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM Sky (%).........68 50 63 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............10 0 10 Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 10 LAL.............1 1 1 Temp............72 67 63 RH..............66 81 90 20 FT wind......SW 7G12 SW 3G8 W 2G6 Eye level wind..SW 4G7 SW 2G5 W 1G4 Mix hgt (ft)....500 400 400 Transport wind..SW 12 SW 9 W 8 ADI.............8 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 3 3 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of rain showers in the morning. CWR.................10 percent. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 74. Min humidity........40 to 45 percent. Wind shift..........Light westerly winds in the morning will become northwesterly by midday. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (52400 knot-ft) in the afternoon. ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 73 in the afternoon. Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest up to 10 mph in the late morning and afternoon. TIME (EST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM Sky (%).........72 63 46 Weather cov..... S CHC Weather type....NONE RNSHWR NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............10 20 10 Chc of pcpn (%).10 20 10 LAL.............1 1 1 Temp............58 70 72 RH..............100 71 48 20 FT wind......W 2G6 NW 6G9 NW 7G13 Eye level wind..W 1G4 NW 4G5 NW 4G8 Mix hgt (ft)....300 2200 3400 Transport wind..NW 7 NW 12 W 16 ADI.............6 32 68 Vrate kt-ft/1K..2 22 49 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR FAIR $$ Forecaster...Hoeflich Requested by...M. Miller Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2425643.4/PHI .DELDT 11/05/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL njffsapsc3@gmail.com,george.efinger@dep.nj.gov,clancy.ryan45@gmail.com,eric.weber@dep.nj.gov,michael.emmerich@dep.nj.gov,christopher.franek@dep.nj.gov