AFOS product QPSLOX
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Product Timestamp: 2024-01-06 13:32 UTC

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FSUS46 KLOX 061341
QPSLOX

Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
532 AM PST Sat Jan 06 2024

Precipitation forecasts in inches are provided in 3-hour
increments until 1600 followed by 6-hour increments until 0400.
Thunderstorm chances cover up to 0400 on day 1 only.

Light rainfall amounts greater than zero but less than a tenth of an
inch are shown as lgt.

The discussion covers the period from: Sat Jan 06 2024 through Fri Jan 12 2024.

&&

                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

San Luis Obispo County...

LSRC1:Cambria                          0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   lgt   0.0
SMRC1:Santa Margarita                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   lgt   0.0
NIPC1:Lopez Lake                       0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   lgt   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.01-0.05        0.01-0.05
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5%              <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 1800-2400

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

Santa Barbara County...

SIYC1:Santa Maria                      0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   lgt   0.0
SBTC1:Santa Barbara Potrero            0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   lgt   lgt
GBRC1:Gibraltar Dam                    0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   lgt
SMCC1:San Marcos Pass                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   lgt   lgt
SBFC1:Santa Barbara City               0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.01-0.03        0.01-0.05
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5%              <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 2000-0200

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

Ventura County...

FGWC1:Fagan Canyon                     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
HRCC1:Hopper Canyon                    0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
MTDC1:Matilija Dam                     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   lgt
VTUC1:Ventura City                     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
MORC1:Moorpark                         0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
CRXC1:Circle X Ranch                   0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.01-0.03        0.05-0.15
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5%              10%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 0000-0600

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

Los Angeles County...

WFKC1:West Fork Heliport               0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   lgt
BDDC1:Big Dalton Dam                   0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   lgt
PCDC1:Pacoima Dam                      0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
FLTC1:La Canada Flintridge             0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   lgt
SAUC1:Saugus                           0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
CQT:Downtown LA                        0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
MLUC1:Malibu Big Rock Mesa             0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.01-0.03        0.05-0.10
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5%              <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 0000-0600

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&

DISCUSSION:

There is a slight chance or chance of showers across the region 
tonight, with a best chance on the Central Coast and across y 
eastern Los Angeles County. Showers are likely late tonight and 
early Sunday on the northern slopes from eastern Santa Barbara 
County to northwestern Los Angeles County.

Snow levels will drop to between 2500 and 3000 feet late tonight and 
Sun morning. Precipitation totals will be one tenth of an inch or 
less, except locally one quarter to one third of an inch on northern 
slopes of the mountains in northern Ventura Counties. 

There could be local snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches in the 
northern Ventura County mountains above 4500 feet, with an inch or 
two [possible as low as 3000 to 3500 feet. Light snow accumulations 
are possible on higher portions of Interstate 5 late tonight and 
Sunday morning. 

After Sunday morning, dry weather is expected through Wed, then 
another system tracking to the northeast of the region may bring a 
few showers Wednesday night and Thursday. 

$$