284 
FXUS64 KSJT 111906
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
206 PM CDT Tue Oct 11 2022

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 205 PM CDT Tue Oct 11 2022

Although an isolated shower or thunderstorms is possible this 
afternoon across the Big Country and western Concho Valley, mainly 
dry conditions are forecast to persist. A large upper level through 
will track across the Great Plains tonight into Wednesday morning, 
sending a cold front into the Big Country Wednesday morning. Ahead 
of the front, overnight low temperatures will be in the low to mid 
60s. Behind the front, expect gusty north winds of 12 to 18 mph. 
High resolution models are a bit faster with the front than 
previously forecast. This will result in highs in the 80s across the 
northern half of the area, with low to mid 90s across the southern 
half of the region. No rain is forecast on Wednesday. 

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Tue Oct 11 2022

Dry conditions return for Wednesday as surface winds shift
southwest and then west ahead of a cold front. Front arrives in
time to have an effect on temperatures north of I-20 with highs in
the low to mid 80s. Farther south, front doesn't arrive until 
after peak heating and this allows temperatures to soar into the 
lower and perhaps even mid 90s across the Hill Country. Generally 
dry and warm through Saturday as an upper level ridge moves into 
the area from the west ahead of a more potent upper trough 
developing across the southwest US. Dry air mass will allow for 
temperatures in the 50s during the morning and 80s to near 90 in 
the afternoon. 

Next weekend looks to be the next weather story across the area as
the upper level trough approaches and a stronger cold front moves
through the area. Precip chances start Saturday Night and increase
on Sunday as the front moves into the area. Most models are
showing significant post frontal precipitation for Sunday into
early next week, along with much cooler temperatures. Will start
the trend down for highs on Monday and await later models to see
just how cool we will end up by Tuesday or Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1129 AM CDT Tue Oct 11 2022

Early this afternoon, stratus is still resulting in MVFR ceilings.
Expect the stratus to slowly dissipate through the next couple of
hours, with VFR conditions returning early this afternoon. Gusty 
south winds will decrease below 10 knots this evening, except at 
KABI where winds will remain between 10 and 15 knots. A cold front
will approach KABI by mid to late morning, resulting in gusty 
north winds of 12 to 15 knots. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     66  83  55  83 /  10   0   0   0 
San Angelo  64  89  55  86 /   0   0   0   0 
Junction    62  94  56  89 /   0   0   0   0 
Brownwood   63  90  54  86 /  10   0   0   0 
Sweetwater  65  81  56  83 /   0   0   0   0 
Ozona       60  88  56  86 /   0   0   0   0 
Brady       65  91  56  86 /  10   0   0   0 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Daniels
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...Daniels