167 
FXUS64 KTSA 191006
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
406 AM CST Fri Nov 19 2021

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 354 AM CST Fri Nov 19 2021

Southerly winds will return today, with some increase in high
level cloudiness by this afternoon and tonight. After a cold
start, afternoon high temperatures today will be near or slightly
warmer than those observed Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 354 AM CST Fri Nov 19 2021

Breezy and warmer conditions are expected Saturday, although
considerable high level cloudiness will hold temperatures back
some from their full potential. A weak cold front will move across
the area late Saturday night and Sunday morning, with a few light
showers possibly accompanying the front across far eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.

Temperatures will be cooler behind the front Sunday night and
Monday, but south winds and warmer temperatures will return by 
Tuesday and Wednesday.

Another cold front is expected to move across the area
Thanksgiving Day, with a better chance of showers beginning
Wednesday night and continuing into Thursday. 

An unsettled weather pattern will then prevail late next week into
the following weekend, so those with travel plans will want to
keep up with the latest forecast as the details get ironed out
over time.

Stayed close to the National Blend of Models forecast for the most
part.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1038 PM CST Thu Nov 18 2021

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast, with south 
winds gusting to around 20 knots across NE OK Friday afternoon. 
Some LLWS also possible at NE OK sites after 00z as low level jet 
strengthens. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   58  44  67  46 /   0   0   0  10 
FSM   58  38  66  50 /   0   0   0  20 
MLC   58  44  67  50 /   0   0   0  10 
BVO   58  40  65  43 /   0   0   0  10 
FYV   54  37  61  48 /   0   0   0  20 
BYV   54  39  62  48 /   0   0   0  20 
MKO   58  41  65  48 /   0   0   0  10 
MIO   55  41  61  45 /   0   0   0  10 
F10   58  42  67  47 /   0   0   0  10 
HHW   59  40  68  53 /   0   0   0  10 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST this morning for OKZ049-053-060-
     063-066>076.

AR...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST this morning for ARZ001-002-010-
     011-019-020-029.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...14