167 FXUS64 KTSA 191006 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 406 AM CST Fri Nov 19 2021 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 354 AM CST Fri Nov 19 2021 Southerly winds will return today, with some increase in high level cloudiness by this afternoon and tonight. After a cold start, afternoon high temperatures today will be near or slightly warmer than those observed Thursday. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 354 AM CST Fri Nov 19 2021 Breezy and warmer conditions are expected Saturday, although considerable high level cloudiness will hold temperatures back some from their full potential. A weak cold front will move across the area late Saturday night and Sunday morning, with a few light showers possibly accompanying the front across far eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Temperatures will be cooler behind the front Sunday night and Monday, but south winds and warmer temperatures will return by Tuesday and Wednesday. Another cold front is expected to move across the area Thanksgiving Day, with a better chance of showers beginning Wednesday night and continuing into Thursday. An unsettled weather pattern will then prevail late next week into the following weekend, so those with travel plans will want to keep up with the latest forecast as the details get ironed out over time. Stayed close to the National Blend of Models forecast for the most part. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1038 PM CST Thu Nov 18 2021 VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast, with south winds gusting to around 20 knots across NE OK Friday afternoon. Some LLWS also possible at NE OK sites after 00z as low level jet strengthens. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 58 44 67 46 / 0 0 0 10 FSM 58 38 66 50 / 0 0 0 20 MLC 58 44 67 50 / 0 0 0 10 BVO 58 40 65 43 / 0 0 0 10 FYV 54 37 61 48 / 0 0 0 20 BYV 54 39 62 48 / 0 0 0 20 MKO 58 41 65 48 / 0 0 0 10 MIO 55 41 61 45 / 0 0 0 10 F10 58 42 67 47 / 0 0 0 10 HHW 59 40 68 53 / 0 0 0 10 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST this morning for OKZ049-053-060- 063-066>076. AR...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST this morning for ARZ001-002-010- 011-019-020-029. && $$ SHORT TERM...05 LONG TERM....05 AVIATION...14