430 
FNUS53 KAPX 191949
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
349 PM EDT Mon Jul 19 2021

...Chances of showers and storms late tonight into Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...Strong high pressure centered over the Great Lakes 
region will slowly drop south as a cold front slides through our 
region late tonight into Tuesday. This front will produce chances of 
showers and thunderstorms as it moves through our area. Until 
then...expect another sunny but hazy day as upper level smoke 
continues to filter our sunshine thanks to upstream Canadian 
wildfires. Minimum relative humidity values will rebound Tuesday,
with values only in the 60s during the afternoon hours. Northwest
winds will diminish this evening and back to more westerly late
tonight, before veering back to northwest late Tuesday morning.
Winds may gust to around 20 mph during the afternoon hours.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-200830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
349 PM EDT Mon Jul 19 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). 
Min Temperature.....63-68. 
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........85-90 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along 
                    the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph . 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of 
                    showers and thunderstorms. 
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 70 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler...except 7 degrees cooler 
                    near the coast. 
Min Humidity........62-67 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the north 
                    in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (300). 
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). 
Min Temperature.....52-57...except around 60 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 75-80 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier along 
                    the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). 
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 70 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........33-38 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......30 percent drier...except 22 percent drier 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (410). 
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-200830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
349 PM EDT Mon Jul 19 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Isolated showers 
                    and thunderstorms until 2400. 
Min Temperature.....63-68. 
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........82-87 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph . 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of 
                    showers until 1200. Slight chance of 
                    thunderstorms. Chance of showers after 1200. 
Max Temperature.....80-85...except around 70 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 13 degrees cooler 
                    near the coast. 
Min Humidity........48-53 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......23 percent wetter...except 29 percent wetter 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the north 
                    in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (670). 
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then 
                    partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Chance of rain 
                    showers until 2400. 
Min Temperature.....53-58...except around 60 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 73-78 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). 
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 62-67 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees warmer near 
                    the coast. 
Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......23 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 16 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (550). 
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 


$$

MIZ020-025>027-200830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
349 PM EDT Mon Jul 19 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). 
Min Temperature.....63-68. 
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........87-92 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along 
                    the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0). 
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). 
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 70 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........62-67 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter...except 15 percent wetter 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (260). 
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). 
Min Temperature.....52-57...except 62-67 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 76-81 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except unchanged along the 
                    coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). 
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 70 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer...except 6 degrees warmer near 
                    the coast. 
Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (340). 
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 


$$

MIZ031>033-200830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
349 PM EDT Mon Jul 19 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). 
Min Temperature.....61-66. 
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........88-93 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along 
                    the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 16 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0). 
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). 
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 68-73 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........53-58 percent...except 71-76 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (360). 
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the northwest 
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). 
Min Temperature.....53-58. 
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except unchanged along the 
                    coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). 
Max Temperature.....76-81. 
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. 
Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 48-53 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......23 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph . 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (360). 
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-200830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
349 PM EDT Mon Jul 19 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). 
Min Temperature.....62-67. 
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........81-86 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph . 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0). 
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of 
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200. 
Max Temperature.....80-85. 
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........48-53 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (720). 
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then 
                    partly cloudy (20-30 percent). 
Min Temperature.....52-57. 
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........88-93 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph . 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in. 

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). 
Max Temperature.....75-80. 
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph . 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (430). 
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

TL