430 FNUS53 KAPX 191949 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 349 PM EDT Mon Jul 19 2021 ...Chances of showers and storms late tonight into Tuesday... .DISCUSSION...Strong high pressure centered over the Great Lakes region will slowly drop south as a cold front slides through our region late tonight into Tuesday. This front will produce chances of showers and thunderstorms as it moves through our area. Until then...expect another sunny but hazy day as upper level smoke continues to filter our sunshine thanks to upstream Canadian wildfires. Minimum relative humidity values will rebound Tuesday, with values only in the 60s during the afternoon hours. Northwest winds will diminish this evening and back to more westerly late tonight, before veering back to northwest late Tuesday morning. Winds may gust to around 20 mph during the afternoon hours. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-200830- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 349 PM EDT Mon Jul 19 2021 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Min Temperature.....63-68. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........85-90 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0). Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler...except 7 degrees cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........62-67 percent. 24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Good (300). Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in. .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min Temperature.....52-57...except around 60 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 75-80 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0). Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........33-38 percent. 24 HR Trend......30 percent drier...except 22 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Good (410). Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-200830- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 349 PM EDT Mon Jul 19 2021 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms until 2400. Min Temperature.....63-68. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........82-87 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0). Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....80-85...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 13 degrees cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........48-53 percent. 24 HR Trend......23 percent wetter...except 29 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (670). Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in. .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....53-58...except around 60 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 73-78 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Max Temperature.....74-79...except 62-67 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees warmer near the coast. Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 24 HR Trend......23 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Good (550). Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ020-025>027-200830- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 349 PM EDT Mon Jul 19 2021 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Min Temperature.....63-68. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........87-92 percent. 24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0). Mixing Height.......0 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........62-67 percent. 24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter...except 15 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (260). Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min Temperature.....52-57...except 62-67 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 76-81 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except unchanged along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 6 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer...except 6 degrees warmer near the coast. Min Humidity........37-42 percent. 24 HR Trend......24 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Good (340). Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ031>033-200830- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 349 PM EDT Mon Jul 19 2021 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Min Temperature.....61-66. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........88-93 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0). Mixing Height.......0 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....77-82...except 68-73 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........53-58 percent...except 71-76 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Good (360). Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the northwest around 15 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min Temperature.....53-58. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except unchanged along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Max Temperature.....76-81. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 48-53 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......23 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Good (360). Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-200830- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 349 PM EDT Mon Jul 19 2021 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Min Temperature.....62-67. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........81-86 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0). Mixing Height.......0 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....80-85. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........48-53 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (720). Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in. .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Min Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........88-93 percent. 24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Max Temperature.....75-80. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 24 HR Trend......19 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Good (430). Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ TL