330 
FNUS53 KAPX 050655
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
255 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2020

...Gusty winds and increasing rain chances today and tonight...

.DISCUSSION...Southerly winds will strengthen today and tonight 
ahead of an approaching cold front. Chances of rain showers will 
increase later today and tonight...mainly for nearshore areas along 
and north of M-32...as this front reaches the Western Great Lakes by 
early evening and the moves thru Michigan late tonight into Tuesday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-052015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
255 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2020

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). 
Max Temperature.....56-61. 
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........45-50 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......35 percent drier...except 15 percent drier 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (800). 
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph increasing to around 21 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then 
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain 
                    showers after 2400. 
Min Temperature.....44-49...except around 51 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........84-89 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along 
                    the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 32 mph. 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain 
                    showers until 1200. 
Max Temperature.....59-64. 
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........55-60 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 28 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (720). 
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. 


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-052015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
255 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2020

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). 
Max Temperature.....55-60. 
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........47-52 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......35 percent drier...except 30 percent drier 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 20 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (780). 
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph increasing to around 18 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain 
                    showers after 2400. 
Min Temperature.....44-49. 
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........81-86 percent...except 69-74 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). 
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 54-59 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........54-59 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (830). 
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 


$$

MIZ020-025>027-052015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
255 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2020

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). 
Max Temperature.....56-61. 
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........43-48 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......31 percent drier...except 12 percent drier 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 32 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (840). 
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph increasing to southwest 
                    around 21 mph in the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then 
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain 
                    showers after 2400. 
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 56-61 near the coast. 
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 72-77 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 36 mph. 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (50). 
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain 
                    showers until 1200. 
Max Temperature.....61-66. 
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees warmer near 
                    the coast. 
Min Humidity........51-56 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 28 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (640). 
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 


$$

MIZ031>033-052015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
255 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2020

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). 
Max Temperature.....56-61. 
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........43-48 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......35 percent drier...except 20 percent drier 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph increasing to 
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 
                    mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (750). 
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph increasing to southwest 
                    around 21 mph in the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of 
                    rain showers after 2400. 
Min Temperature.....45-50. 
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........84-89 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional 
                    gusts up to 32 mph. 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20). 
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). 
Max Temperature.....61-66. 
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........48-53 percent...except 60-65 percent along the 
                    coast. 
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter 
                    along the coast. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts 
                    up to 24 mph. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (660). 
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-052015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
255 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2020

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). 
Max Temperature.....54-59. 
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........47-52 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......29 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph . 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (760). 
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 3 mph increasing to around 18 
                    mph in the afternoon. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of 
                    rain showers after 2400. 
Min Temperature.....41-46. 
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........81-86 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph . 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). 
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). 
Max Temperature.....63-68. 
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........48-53 percent. 
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter. 
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph . 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (890). 
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph. 
Pcpn Amount.........None. 


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 

$$

MR