330 FNUS53 KAPX 050655 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 255 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2020 ...Gusty winds and increasing rain chances today and tonight... .DISCUSSION...Southerly winds will strengthen today and tonight ahead of an approaching cold front. Chances of rain showers will increase later today and tonight...mainly for nearshore areas along and north of M-32...as this front reaches the Western Great Lakes by early evening and the moves thru Michigan late tonight into Tuesday. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-052015- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 255 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2020 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....56-61. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........45-50 percent. 24 HR Trend......35 percent drier...except 15 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (800). Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph increasing to around 21 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....44-49...except around 51 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........84-89 percent. 24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20). Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........55-60 percent. 24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (720). Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-052015- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 255 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2020 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....55-60. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........47-52 percent. 24 HR Trend......35 percent drier...except 30 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (780). Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph increasing to around 18 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....44-49. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........81-86 percent...except 69-74 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......17 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30). Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Max Temperature.....62-67...except 54-59 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........54-59 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (830). Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ020-025>027-052015- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 255 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2020 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....56-61. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........43-48 percent. 24 HR Trend......31 percent drier...except 12 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (840). Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph increasing to southwest around 21 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....44-49...except 56-61 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 72-77 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......16 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 36 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (50). Mixing Height.......200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....61-66. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees warmer near the coast. Min Humidity........51-56 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (640). Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ031>033-052015- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 255 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2020 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....56-61. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........43-48 percent. 24 HR Trend......35 percent drier...except 20 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph increasing to around 15 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (750). Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph increasing to southwest around 21 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....45-50. 24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........84-89 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20). Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....61-66. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........48-53 percent...except 60-65 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (660). Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-052015- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 255 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2020 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....54-59. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........47-52 percent. 24 HR Trend......29 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (760). Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 3 mph increasing to around 18 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....41-46. 24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........81-86 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph . Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10). Mixing Height.......0 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Max Temperature.....63-68. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........48-53 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (890). Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ MR