National Weather Service Text Product
AFOS product FWFILM
Dates interpreted at 00:00 UTCDisplaying AFOS PIL: FWFILM
Product Timestamp: 2020-04-17 22:20 UTC
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570
FNUS52 KILM 172220
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
620 PM EDT Fri Apr 17 2020
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will bring a few rain showers, mainly Saturday
morning, as it crosses the area. Drier high pressure will build
in briefly late Saturday through early Sunday. Heavy rain in showers
and thunderstorms expected Sunday night into Monday, as a low
pressure system moves across the Southeast. A drying trend is
expected through mid-week, with seasonable temperatures.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-181430-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
620 PM EDT Fri Apr 17 2020
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud amount Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chc (%) 20 70 0 60
Precip type Showers Tstms None Showers
LAL 1 2 1 3
Min/Max Temp 58 77 47 75
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 10 G21 SW 9 G21 N 6 E 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 8 G20 NW 11 G20 NE 3 S 7
Precip Amount 0.01 0.09 0.00 0.12
Precip Duration 0 3 3
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 4 PM Continuing
Inversion 2100 64/0900 2000 54/0800
Dispersion Excellent Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 99 37 82 52
DSI 2 3
Haines Index 5 4 5 4
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 5510 4720
Transport wnd (mph) NW 23 S 17
Ventilation rate 126730 81420
ADI Early 71 Good 63 Good 80 Good 48 Gen good
ADI Late 13 Gen poor 76 Good 4 Very poor 47 Gen good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 3 4
Max LVORI Late 5 1 3 2
Min VSBY Early 7 5 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 7 7
Turner Stability D D E C
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. South
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-181430-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
620 PM EDT Fri Apr 17 2020
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud amount Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chc (%) 20 60 0 60
Precip type Showers Tstms None Showers
LAL 1 2 1 3
Min/Max Temp 57 76 44 75
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 10 G20 SW 10 G22 N 5 E 3
Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 8 G21 NW 11 G23 LGT/VAR S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.15
Precip Duration 0 2 3
Precip Begin 4 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 4 PM Continuing
Inversion 2100 63/0900 2000 53/0900
Dispersion Good Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 99 34 77 48
DSI 2 3
Haines Index 5 4 5 4
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 6010 4670
Transport wnd (mph) NW 23 S 17
Ventilation rate 138230 80560
ADI Early 74 Good 65 Good 73 Good 47 Gen good
ADI Late 14 Gen poor 75 Good 5 Very poor 48 Gen good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 2 4
Max LVORI Late 5 1 3 2
Min VSBY Early 7 6 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 7
Turner Stability D D F C
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-181430-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
620 PM EDT Fri Apr 17 2020
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud amount Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chc (%) 20 40 0 70
Precip type Showers Tstms None Showers
LAL 1 2 1 3
Min/Max Temp 59 80 49 76
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 8 SW 9 G20 N 6 E 5
Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 7 NW 11 G21 NE 4 S 7
Precip Amount 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.18
Precip Duration 0 2 4
Precip Begin 4 AM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing 6 PM Continuing
Inversion 2100 65/0900 2000 57/0900
Dispersion Good Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 100 41 81 59
DSI 2 3
Haines Index 4 4 5 4
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 5650 3680
Transport wnd (mph) NW 22 S 17
Ventilation rate 123450 63480
ADI Early 61 Good 62 Good 68 Good 40 Fair
ADI Late 12 poor 89 Good 5 Very poor 43 Gen good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 3 4
Max LVORI Late 6 1 3 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 7
Turner Stability D D E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-181430-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
620 PM EDT Fri Apr 17 2020
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud amount Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chc (%) 0 30 0 70
Precip type None Tstms None Showers
LAL 1 2 1 3
Min/Max Temp 58 80 48 77
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 8 SW 10 G20 N 5 E 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 7 NW 11 G20 NE 4 S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.18
Precip Duration 1 4
Precip Begin 6 AM 7 AM
Precip End 2 PM Continuing
Inversion 2100 63/0800 2000 56/0900
Dispersion Good Fair
Max/Min RH (%) 100 38 76 53
DSI 2 3
Haines Index 4 4 5 4
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 6230 4000
Transport wnd (mph) NW 20 S 15
Ventilation rate 121800 59800
ADI Early 68 Good 75 Good 65 Good 39 Fair
ADI Late 12 poor 86 Good 5 Very poor 41 Gen good
Max LVORI Early 3 6 3 3
Max LVORI Late 6 1 3 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 7
Turner Stability D C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-181430-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
620 PM EDT Fri Apr 17 2020
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud amount Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chc (%) 0 30 0 70
Precip type None Showers None Showers
LAL 1 2 1 3
Min/Max Temp 58 77 44 75
Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 9 SW 11 G20 N 5 E 4
Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 9 NW 11 G22 NE 3 S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.16
Precip Duration 1 4
Precip Begin 6 AM 8 AM
Precip End 2 PM Continuing
Inversion 2100 63/0900 2000 53/0900
Dispersion Excellent Poor
Max/Min RH (%) 99 34 73 47
DSI 2 3
Haines Index 5 4 5 4
Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 6270 4180
Transport wnd (mph) NW 18 S 15
Ventilation rate 115370 62490
ADI Early 68 Good 59 Gen good 65 Good 39 Fair
ADI Late 17 Gen poor 76 Good 5 Very poor 42 Gen good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 2 3
Max LVORI Late 5 1 3 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 7
Turner Stability D C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of showers near 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$