570 FNUS52 KILM 172220 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 620 PM EDT Fri Apr 17 2020 .DISCUSSION... A cold front will bring a few rain showers, mainly Saturday morning, as it crosses the area. Drier high pressure will build in briefly late Saturday through early Sunday. Heavy rain in showers and thunderstorms expected Sunday night into Monday, as a low pressure system moves across the Southeast. A drying trend is expected through mid-week, with seasonable temperatures. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-181430- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 620 PM EDT Fri Apr 17 2020 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud amount Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chc (%) 20 70 0 60 Precip type Showers Tstms None Showers LAL 1 2 1 3 Min/Max Temp 58 77 47 75 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 10 G21 SW 9 G21 N 6 E 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 8 G20 NW 11 G20 NE 3 S 7 Precip Amount 0.01 0.09 0.00 0.12 Precip Duration 0 3 3 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing 2 PM Precip End Continuing 4 PM Continuing Inversion 2100 64/0900 2000 54/0800 Dispersion Excellent Poor Max/Min RH (%) 99 37 82 52 DSI 2 3 Haines Index 5 4 5 4 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 5510 4720 Transport wnd (mph) NW 23 S 17 Ventilation rate 126730 81420 ADI Early 71 Good 63 Good 80 Good 48 Gen good ADI Late 13 Gen poor 76 Good 4 Very poor 47 Gen good Max LVORI Early 3 5 3 4 Max LVORI Late 5 1 3 2 Min VSBY Early 7 5 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 6 7 7 Turner Stability D D E C Remarks...Brotak Stack Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-181430- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 620 PM EDT Fri Apr 17 2020 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud amount Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chc (%) 20 60 0 60 Precip type Showers Tstms None Showers LAL 1 2 1 3 Min/Max Temp 57 76 44 75 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 10 G20 SW 10 G22 N 5 E 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 8 G21 NW 11 G23 LGT/VAR S 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.15 Precip Duration 0 2 3 Precip Begin 4 AM Continuing 2 PM Precip End Continuing 4 PM Continuing Inversion 2100 63/0900 2000 53/0900 Dispersion Good Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 99 34 77 48 DSI 2 3 Haines Index 5 4 5 4 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 6010 4670 Transport wnd (mph) NW 23 S 17 Ventilation rate 138230 80560 ADI Early 74 Good 65 Good 73 Good 47 Gen good ADI Late 14 Gen poor 75 Good 5 Very poor 48 Gen good Max LVORI Early 3 5 2 4 Max LVORI Late 5 1 3 2 Min VSBY Early 7 6 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 7 Turner Stability D D F C Remarks...Brotak Stack Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 79 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-181430- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 620 PM EDT Fri Apr 17 2020 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud amount Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chc (%) 20 40 0 70 Precip type Showers Tstms None Showers LAL 1 2 1 3 Min/Max Temp 59 80 49 76 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 8 SW 9 G20 N 6 E 5 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 7 NW 11 G21 NE 4 S 7 Precip Amount 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.18 Precip Duration 0 2 4 Precip Begin 4 AM Continuing 7 AM Precip End Continuing 6 PM Continuing Inversion 2100 65/0900 2000 57/0900 Dispersion Good Fair Max/Min RH (%) 100 41 81 59 DSI 2 3 Haines Index 4 4 5 4 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 5650 3680 Transport wnd (mph) NW 22 S 17 Ventilation rate 123450 63480 ADI Early 61 Good 62 Good 68 Good 40 Fair ADI Late 12 poor 89 Good 5 Very poor 43 Gen good Max LVORI Early 4 6 3 4 Max LVORI Late 6 1 3 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 7 Turner Stability D D E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-181430- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 620 PM EDT Fri Apr 17 2020 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud amount Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chc (%) 0 30 0 70 Precip type None Tstms None Showers LAL 1 2 1 3 Min/Max Temp 58 80 48 77 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 8 SW 10 G20 N 5 E 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 7 NW 11 G20 NE 4 S 7 Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.18 Precip Duration 1 4 Precip Begin 6 AM 7 AM Precip End 2 PM Continuing Inversion 2100 63/0800 2000 56/0900 Dispersion Good Fair Max/Min RH (%) 100 38 76 53 DSI 2 3 Haines Index 4 4 5 4 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 6230 4000 Transport wnd (mph) NW 20 S 15 Ventilation rate 121800 59800 ADI Early 68 Good 75 Good 65 Good 39 Fair ADI Late 12 poor 86 Good 5 Very poor 41 Gen good Max LVORI Early 3 6 3 3 Max LVORI Late 6 1 3 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 7 Turner Stability D C E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-181430- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 620 PM EDT Fri Apr 17 2020 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud amount Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chc (%) 0 30 0 70 Precip type None Showers None Showers LAL 1 2 1 3 Min/Max Temp 58 77 44 75 Wnd20ft/early(mph) S 9 SW 11 G20 N 5 E 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 9 NW 11 G22 NE 3 S 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.16 Precip Duration 1 4 Precip Begin 6 AM 8 AM Precip End 2 PM Continuing Inversion 2100 63/0900 2000 53/0900 Dispersion Excellent Poor Max/Min RH (%) 99 34 73 47 DSI 2 3 Haines Index 5 4 5 4 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 6270 4180 Transport wnd (mph) NW 18 S 15 Ventilation rate 115370 62490 ADI Early 68 Good 59 Gen good 65 Good 39 Fair ADI Late 17 Gen poor 76 Good 5 Very poor 42 Gen good Max LVORI Early 3 5 2 3 Max LVORI Late 5 1 3 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 7 Turner Stability D C E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 80 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$