736 
FXUS63 KICT 161702
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1202 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 330 AM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019

A stable post-frontal regime is firmly entrenched across the region 
today. Afternoon highs are expected to climb into the low to mid 60s 
with only a few cirrus clouds anticipated. Light and variable winds 
will gradually return to the south as high pressure translates 
eastward into the Middle Mississippi Valley area late in the period.

Thu-Fri...breezy southerly winds will return on Thursday as a 
mid/upper ridge builds over the central CONUS. Rising 
heights/increasing thickness will support rising temperatures across 
the area with above normal readings anticipated to end the work 
week. Highs on Thu will reach the low to mid 70s for most areas 
while Friday's values may climb into the lower 80s across portions 
of central KS. 

A shortwave trough is progged to move into the Central Rockies late 
on Fri before emerging over the Central Plains Fri night. The 
quality of low level moisture appears rather benign but a transient 
period of showers/storms appears likely along a progressive frontal 
boundary as the pv anomaly races eastward across the area late Fri 
night and low pops were maintained for much of the area.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 330 AM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019

A progressive shortwave trough will exit the area early on 
Sat with dry and mild conditions anticipated by afternoon. Another 
more vigorous mid/upper trough is progged to impact the Northern 
Plains states on Sunday. This trough will help drive a cold front 
across our forecast area on Sunday but the chances for beneficial 
precipitation appear low at this time. Strong and gusty west to 
northwest winds are likely on Sunday afternoon as increasing large-
scale forcing for subsidence develops on the southern periphery of 
the mid/upper trough. Dry weather conditions will return as we move 
into the beginning of the week with seasonably cool temperatures 
anticipated. Afternoon highs are expected to reach the mid/upper 60s 
for the first half of next week. 

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1157 AM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019

Minimal weather-related aviation concerns are expected over the
next 24 hours.

Latest satellite imagery shows some scattered to broken MVFR level
clouds in far eastern Kansas as of mid-day. These transient clouds
are progressing southeastward and may impact KCNU for the next
hour or two. Otherwise, VFR flight conditions are expected with
clear skies and relatively light winds throughout the forecast
period. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    65  43  75  52 /   0   0   0   0 
Hutchinson      63  43  74  52 /   0   0   0   0 
Newton          62  43  71  52 /   0   0   0   0 
ElDorado        62  43  71  51 /   0   0   0   0 
Winfield-KWLD   62  43  72  51 /   0   0   0   0 
Russell         64  42  76  56 /   0   0   0   0 
Great Bend      64  40  76  55 /   0   0   0   0 
Salina          61  43  74  54 /   0   0   0   0 
McPherson       61  43  72  52 /   0   0   0   0 
Coffeyville     61  40  70  48 /   0   0   0   0 
Chanute         61  40  69  49 /   0   0   0   0 
Iola            60  40  69  50 /   0   0   0   0 
Parsons-KPPF    61  40  69  49 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...TAV