736 FXUS63 KICT 161702 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 1202 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019 ...Updated Aviation Discussion... .SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday night) Issued at 330 AM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019 A stable post-frontal regime is firmly entrenched across the region today. Afternoon highs are expected to climb into the low to mid 60s with only a few cirrus clouds anticipated. Light and variable winds will gradually return to the south as high pressure translates eastward into the Middle Mississippi Valley area late in the period. Thu-Fri...breezy southerly winds will return on Thursday as a mid/upper ridge builds over the central CONUS. Rising heights/increasing thickness will support rising temperatures across the area with above normal readings anticipated to end the work week. Highs on Thu will reach the low to mid 70s for most areas while Friday's values may climb into the lower 80s across portions of central KS. A shortwave trough is progged to move into the Central Rockies late on Fri before emerging over the Central Plains Fri night. The quality of low level moisture appears rather benign but a transient period of showers/storms appears likely along a progressive frontal boundary as the pv anomaly races eastward across the area late Fri night and low pops were maintained for much of the area. .LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 330 AM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019 A progressive shortwave trough will exit the area early on Sat with dry and mild conditions anticipated by afternoon. Another more vigorous mid/upper trough is progged to impact the Northern Plains states on Sunday. This trough will help drive a cold front across our forecast area on Sunday but the chances for beneficial precipitation appear low at this time. Strong and gusty west to northwest winds are likely on Sunday afternoon as increasing large- scale forcing for subsidence develops on the southern periphery of the mid/upper trough. Dry weather conditions will return as we move into the beginning of the week with seasonably cool temperatures anticipated. Afternoon highs are expected to reach the mid/upper 60s for the first half of next week. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon) Issued at 1157 AM CDT Wed Oct 16 2019 Minimal weather-related aviation concerns are expected over the next 24 hours. Latest satellite imagery shows some scattered to broken MVFR level clouds in far eastern Kansas as of mid-day. These transient clouds are progressing southeastward and may impact KCNU for the next hour or two. Otherwise, VFR flight conditions are expected with clear skies and relatively light winds throughout the forecast period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Wichita-KICT 65 43 75 52 / 0 0 0 0 Hutchinson 63 43 74 52 / 0 0 0 0 Newton 62 43 71 52 / 0 0 0 0 ElDorado 62 43 71 51 / 0 0 0 0 Winfield-KWLD 62 43 72 51 / 0 0 0 0 Russell 64 42 76 56 / 0 0 0 0 Great Bend 64 40 76 55 / 0 0 0 0 Salina 61 43 74 54 / 0 0 0 0 McPherson 61 43 72 52 / 0 0 0 0 Coffeyville 61 40 70 48 / 0 0 0 0 Chanute 61 40 69 49 / 0 0 0 0 Iola 60 40 69 50 / 0 0 0 0 Parsons-KPPF 61 40 69 49 / 0 0 0 0 && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...MWM LONG TERM...MWM AVIATION...TAV