469 
FXUS64 KFWD 162330
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
630 PM CDT Fri Aug 16 2019


.AVIATION...
/00z TAFs/

VFR and southeast winds will continue through the period. While 
wind speeds around 10 kts will prevail, some higher gusts around 
20 kts are possible Saturday afternoon. All convection is expected
to remain far from the TAF sites through the period, but some 
remnant anvil cirrus may spread in from the west Saturday evening.

-Stalley

&&


.DISCUSSION... /Issued 319 PM CDT Fri Aug 16 2019/

Hot and dry weather will continue well into next week with little
chance for relief. A strong mid level ridge axis is expected to
remain in place through the weekend, although its center will be
displaced just a touch to the south of our region. This will allow
for an active storm track through the Central Plains but most of
this shower/storm activity will remain well to our north. A series
of embedded impulses in the westerly flow aloft will ever so
slowly gradually erode at the eastern periphery of the ridge 
through the end of next week. This would displace the center of
the ridge farther to the west and may open up the Gulf of Mexico
allowing for a little better moisture and rain chances by next
weekend.

Otherwise, it will be hot and humid for the next several days with
high temperatures near 100 degrees and heat indices near 105
degrees. We'll hold off on a heat advisory for Saturday for now as
mixing may be sufficient for dewpoints to fall into the lower 60s,
but it may be required by Sunday as moisture becomes a little
deeper.

Dunn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    81 100  80  99  81 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Waco                79  99  79 101  79 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Paris               75  96  77  96  77 /   0   0   0   5   5 
Denton              78 100  79 100  79 /   0   0   0   0   5 
McKinney            78  98  79  98  79 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Dallas              81 100  81 100  81 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Terrell             78  98  79  99  79 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Corsicana           78  98  77  98  77 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Temple              77 100  78 100  77 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Mineral Wells       77 101  77 101  77 /   0   0   0   0   5 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

26/24