273 
FXUS64 KCRP 141948
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
248 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Sunday Night)...

Little change to area weather tonight as drier air aloft is prog
to once again spread west from the Gulf over a shallow/moisture
llvl airmass across S TX. Result should be another round of dense
fog overnight across much of S TX...especially as boundary layer
winds become light to calm. 

Morning fog/stratus should start to mix out by mid morning but
low clouds may have a hard time eroding by midday as a thermal
inversion around H85 persists/remains strong. Also during the
morning, a cold front should push rather fast across S Central TX
and into S TX by midday...and continuing south through the
afternoon with wind speeds becoming northerly at that time. Drier
air should begin to spread south in the afternoon...but the 
cooler airmass is not expected to arrive until Sunday Night. Brief
and isolated elevated convection will be possible during the 
day...along and behind the boundary...but strong to severe storms 
are not currently expected. Drier and windier conditions are 
expected Sunday Night as CAA increases.

Continued warm and humid conditions tonight with another day of
warm temperatures on Sunday before cooler air starts to arrive
late in the day. Min temps down into the 60s areawide expected 
Sunday Night.

&&

.LONG TERM (Monday through Saturday)...

Last of the rain associated with the cold front will be exiting the 
area at the onset of the longterm period with just a small area of 
slight chance pops far offshore on Monday. Beyond that, high 
pressure builds over the region and much drier air sinks in. PWAT 
values around 1.5" at the coast early Monday should be closer to 
0.5" by the end of the day. This dry air remains in place Tuesday 
and most of Wednesday before a more easterly flow will gradually 
increase moisture. Have included a slight chance pops for marine 
areas and into the coastal bend/brush country from Thursday through 
Saturday as moisture continues to increase. By Friday and Saturday 
anticipate dewpoints back into the 70s.

Pleasant temperatures will settle in for the early part of the week 
with highs in the 70s to around 80 Monday and Tuesday with lows 
mainly in the 50s. A warming trend then develops for the latter half 
of the week with highs back into the upper 80s and lower 90s.

&&

.MARINE...Weak easterly flow will prevail tonight ahead of a cold
front that will push south across the area waters through the day
Sunday...resulting in weak to moderate northerly flow in the
afternoon. Strong north flow is not currently expected to occur 
until late Sunday and especially Sunday Night, however. Small 
Craft Advisories will likely be needed by Sunday Night as strong 
north flow and hazardous seas develop.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    71  90  64  79  56  /  10  20  10  10  10 
Victoria          69  88  59  78  52  /  10  20  10  10   0 
Laredo            73  87  61  79  55  /  10  20  10   0   0 
Alice             69  90  63  80  54  /  10  20  10  10   0 
Rockport          74  88  64  79  56  /  10  20  10  10  10 
Cotulla           73  84  60  78  52  /  10  20  10   0   0 
Kingsville        70  92  63  80  55  /  10  20  10  10  10 
Navy Corpus       76  90  66  79  58  /  10  20  10  10  10 

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 AM CDT Sunday For the following 
     zones: Kleberg...Nueces...San Patricio.

GM...None.

&&

$$

RH/79...SHORT TERM
PZ/83...LONG TERM