273 FXUS64 KCRP 141948 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 248 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017 .SHORT TERM (Tonight through Sunday Night)... Little change to area weather tonight as drier air aloft is prog to once again spread west from the Gulf over a shallow/moisture llvl airmass across S TX. Result should be another round of dense fog overnight across much of S TX...especially as boundary layer winds become light to calm. Morning fog/stratus should start to mix out by mid morning but low clouds may have a hard time eroding by midday as a thermal inversion around H85 persists/remains strong. Also during the morning, a cold front should push rather fast across S Central TX and into S TX by midday...and continuing south through the afternoon with wind speeds becoming northerly at that time. Drier air should begin to spread south in the afternoon...but the cooler airmass is not expected to arrive until Sunday Night. Brief and isolated elevated convection will be possible during the day...along and behind the boundary...but strong to severe storms are not currently expected. Drier and windier conditions are expected Sunday Night as CAA increases. Continued warm and humid conditions tonight with another day of warm temperatures on Sunday before cooler air starts to arrive late in the day. Min temps down into the 60s areawide expected Sunday Night. && .LONG TERM (Monday through Saturday)... Last of the rain associated with the cold front will be exiting the area at the onset of the longterm period with just a small area of slight chance pops far offshore on Monday. Beyond that, high pressure builds over the region and much drier air sinks in. PWAT values around 1.5" at the coast early Monday should be closer to 0.5" by the end of the day. This dry air remains in place Tuesday and most of Wednesday before a more easterly flow will gradually increase moisture. Have included a slight chance pops for marine areas and into the coastal bend/brush country from Thursday through Saturday as moisture continues to increase. By Friday and Saturday anticipate dewpoints back into the 70s. Pleasant temperatures will settle in for the early part of the week with highs in the 70s to around 80 Monday and Tuesday with lows mainly in the 50s. A warming trend then develops for the latter half of the week with highs back into the upper 80s and lower 90s. && .MARINE...Weak easterly flow will prevail tonight ahead of a cold front that will push south across the area waters through the day Sunday...resulting in weak to moderate northerly flow in the afternoon. Strong north flow is not currently expected to occur until late Sunday and especially Sunday Night, however. Small Craft Advisories will likely be needed by Sunday Night as strong north flow and hazardous seas develop. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 71 90 64 79 56 / 10 20 10 10 10 Victoria 69 88 59 78 52 / 10 20 10 10 0 Laredo 73 87 61 79 55 / 10 20 10 0 0 Alice 69 90 63 80 54 / 10 20 10 10 0 Rockport 74 88 64 79 56 / 10 20 10 10 10 Cotulla 73 84 60 78 52 / 10 20 10 0 0 Kingsville 70 92 63 80 55 / 10 20 10 10 10 Navy Corpus 76 90 66 79 58 / 10 20 10 10 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 AM CDT Sunday For the following zones: Kleberg...Nueces...San Patricio. GM...None. && $$ RH/79...SHORT TERM PZ/83...LONG TERM