933 
FNUS74 KFWD 021314 AAA
FWSFWD

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGER HILL...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
714 AM CST THU FEB 2 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 02. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT ARRIVED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND STEADY NORTH WINDS
WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY. THE COOLER TEMPERATURES
WILL LIKELY PREVENT THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY FROM FALLING BELOW 40 
PERCENT. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE...BUT NO RAIN IS EXPECTED
TODAY. THE CLOUDS WILL LINGER ON FRIDAY...BUT THE NORTH WINDS WILL
SUBSIDE. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT AND 
SATURDAY. A WARMING TREND WILL RETURN AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO 
THE 70S BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MAY RESURFACE 
ON TUESDAY WHEN GUSTY WEST WINDS BEHIND A DRYLINE DROP AFTERNOON 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO AROUND 20 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING 
                    PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. 
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL LATE 
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 18 MPH 
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
SKY (%).........43  51  57  64  70  66  63  60  56  53  
WEATHER COV.....                                        
WEATHER TYPE....                                        
TSTM COV........                                        
TEMP............36  36  37  38  40  42  43  45  45  45  
RH..............72  72  70  70  64  57  53  47  49  51  
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
20 FT WIND SPD..14  14  15  14  14  14  14  12  10  8   
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  25  25  25  20  20  20  15  10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
TRANSP WIND SPD.29  28  28  26  25  24  22  20  18  16  
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING 
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33. 
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING 
                    LIGHT. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL IN 
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 14 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
SKY (%).........49  52  54  56  59  61  64  63  63  62  62  61  
WEATHER COV.....                                                
WEATHER TYPE....                                                
TSTM COV........                                                
TEMP............43  42  40  39  38  37  36  36  35  34  34  33  
RH..............57  57  59  59  67  72  82  79  78  78  82  85  
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   6   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10              5   5   5   5   5   5   5   
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.0 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  13  12  10  9   8   8   7   6   6   6   7   
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. 
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN 
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3800 FT AGL 
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 12 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED 
                    FIRE GROWTH. 

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
SKY (%).........61  61  62  62  62  62  63  63  64  64  65  66  
WEATHER COV.....                                                
WEATHER TYPE....                                                
TSTM COV........                                                
TEMP............33  33  34  35  38  40  44  46  49  51  51  50  
RH..............89  89  89  85  79  79  70  60  50  42  46  54  
20 FT WIND DIR..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5                               10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.1 2.7 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   7   7   8   8   8   9   9   9   10  12  12  
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM
RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 20 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HUCKABY
REQUESTED BY...NICK DAWSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1701320.0/FWD
.EMAIL JCOOPER@TFS.TAMU.EDU,NDAWSON@TFS.TAMU.EDU