933 FNUS74 KFWD 021314 AAA FWSFWD SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGER HILL...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 714 AM CST THU FEB 2 2017 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT ARRIVED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND STEADY NORTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY. THE COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY PREVENT THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY FROM FALLING BELOW 40 PERCENT. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE...BUT NO RAIN IS EXPECTED TODAY. THE CLOUDS WILL LINGER ON FRIDAY...BUT THE NORTH WINDS WILL SUBSIDE. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. A WARMING TREND WILL RETURN AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO THE 70S BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MAY RESURFACE ON TUESDAY WHEN GUSTY WEST WINDS BEHIND A DRYLINE DROP AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO AROUND 20 PERCENT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........43 51 57 64 70 66 63 60 56 53 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............36 36 37 38 40 42 43 45 45 45 RH..............72 72 70 70 64 57 53 47 49 51 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 15 14 14 14 14 12 10 8 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 20 20 20 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.29 28 28 26 25 24 22 20 18 16 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........49 52 54 56 59 61 64 63 63 62 62 61 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............43 42 40 39 38 37 36 36 35 34 34 33 RH..............57 57 59 59 67 72 82 79 78 78 82 85 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.0 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 12 10 9 8 8 7 6 6 6 7 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3800 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........61 61 62 62 62 62 63 63 64 64 65 66 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............33 33 34 35 38 40 44 46 49 51 51 50 RH..............89 89 89 85 79 79 70 60 50 42 46 54 20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.1 2.7 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 12 12 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 20 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...HUCKABY REQUESTED BY...NICK DAWSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 1701320.0/FWD .EMAIL JCOOPER@TFS.TAMU.EDU,NDAWSON@TFS.TAMU.EDU