005 
FNUS71 KPHI 212047
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR SIXTEEN MILE...PA DCNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
447 PM EDT THU APR 21 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1636 EDT ON APRIL 21. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND THE
NORTHERN THREE QUARTERS OF NEW JERSEY.

THE WORST OF THE RED FLAG CONDITIONS EARLIER TODAY OCCURRED FROM
READING AND MOUNT POCONO ACROSS NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY WAS INCREASING RAPIDLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS
HIGHER DEWPOINTS ARRIVE ON GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS.

SCATTERED SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY LATE
TONIGHT.

FRIDAY WILL BECOME WARM AND BREEZY. HUMIDITY WILL BE HIGHER AND
THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF BRIEFLY HEAVY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS, AGAIN MOSTLY NEAR AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 78.

HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE EAST COAST TONIGHT WILL GIVE WAY TO A LOW
PRESSURE AND A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WITH SHOWERS ON FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE OFF SHORE BY SATURDAY AND A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT THROUGH SUNDAY. WITH THE
RIDGE OFF SHORE BY MONDAY ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE
NORTH AND THEN STALL OVER THE AREA ON TUESDAY AS WAVES OF LOW
PRESSURE AND RAIN MOVE EASTWARD ALONG IT. HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST
TO PUSH THE FRONT SOUTH OF OUR AREA FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE 
                    EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE 
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. 
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE 
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. 
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE 
                    EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE 
                    EVENING...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT...INCREASING 
                    TO 50 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 40 
                    PERCENT...DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT. 
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. 
LAL.................NO TSTMS. 
WIND SHIFT.......... 

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
SKY (%).............80  90  100 100 99  99  97  95  93  93  94  94  
WEATHER COV.........            SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC 
WEATHER TYPE........            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  
TSTM COV............                                                
TEMP................66  65  60  58  56  56  55  55  55  55  55  55  
RH..................34  39  49  56  63  72  72  76  79  79  80  80  
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   
20 FT WIND SPD......7   6   6   5   6   6   5   3   2   2   2   3   
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  10      10  10      5   5   5   5   5   
CWR.................10  10  10  20  30  30  40  40  50  50  40  30  
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  20  30  30  40  40  50  50  40  30  
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE 
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED 
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. 
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH. 
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR 
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND 
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY 
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. 
CWR.................20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT. 
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. 
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1200...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 
                    1400...THEN 16-25 STRIKES. 
WIND SHIFT.......... 
 

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   
SKY (%).............92     87     93     96     96     92     
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE 
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR 
TSTM COV............                     ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD 
TEMP................54     58     63     68     71     73     
RH..................88     82     70     59     51     48     
20 FT WIND..........W 3    W 5    W 6    W 6    W 7    W 7    
20 FT WIND GUST.....5             10     10     15     15     
CWR.................20     20     20     60     90     90     
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20     20     20     60     90     90     
LAL.................1      1      1      4      5      5      
     

$$
FORECASTER...OHARA
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN TURNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160421.SIXTE.03/PHI