005 FNUS71 KPHI 212047 FWSPHI SPOT FORECAST FOR SIXTEEN MILE...PA DCNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 447 PM EDT THU APR 21 2016 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1636 EDT ON APRIL 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND THE NORTHERN THREE QUARTERS OF NEW JERSEY. THE WORST OF THE RED FLAG CONDITIONS EARLIER TODAY OCCURRED FROM READING AND MOUNT POCONO ACROSS NORTHERN NEW JERSEY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WAS INCREASING RAPIDLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGHER DEWPOINTS ARRIVE ON GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS. SCATTERED SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY LATE TONIGHT. FRIDAY WILL BECOME WARM AND BREEZY. HUMIDITY WILL BE HIGHER AND THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF BRIEFLY HEAVY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, AGAIN MOSTLY NEAR AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 78. HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE EAST COAST TONIGHT WILL GIVE WAY TO A LOW PRESSURE AND A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WITH SHOWERS ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE OFF SHORE BY SATURDAY AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND IT THROUGH SUNDAY. WITH THE RIDGE OFF SHORE BY MONDAY ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH AND THEN STALL OVER THE AREA ON TUESDAY AS WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE AND RAIN MOVE EASTWARD ALONG IT. HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO PUSH THE FRONT SOUTH OF OUR AREA FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. WIND SHIFT.......... TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............80 90 100 100 99 99 97 95 93 93 94 94 WEATHER COV......... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................66 65 60 58 56 56 55 55 55 55 55 55 RH..................34 39 49 56 63 72 72 76 79 79 80 80 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W 20 FT WIND SPD......7 6 6 5 6 6 5 3 2 2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................10 10 10 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 30 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 30 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1200...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 1400...THEN 16-25 STRIKES. WIND SHIFT.......... TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............92 87 93 96 96 92 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD TEMP................54 58 63 68 71 73 RH..................88 82 70 59 51 48 20 FT WIND..........W 3 W 5 W 6 W 6 W 7 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 15 15 CWR.................20 20 20 60 90 90 CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20 20 60 90 90 LAL.................1 1 1 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...OHARA REQUESTED BY...SHAWN TURNER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20160421.SIXTE.03/PHI