196 
FXUS62 KFFC 110808
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
408 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015



.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM. THE H5 UPPER 
LOW WILL WOBBLE ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA/GEORGIA COAST TODAY...THEN 
WEAKEN AND FILL AS IT LIFTS NORTHEAST ON MONDAY. THIS WILL KEEP A 
COOL NORTHEAST FLOW OVER THE CWA ALONG WITH MOISTURE IN THE FORM OF 
CLOUDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES MONDAY 
AFTERNOON...CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE MONDAY 
AFTERNOON. 

17


.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST STARTS OFF WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
MOVING SE OUT OF THE MS AND OH RIVER VALLEYS MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY
MORNING. THIS FRONT PUSHES INTO NW GA AROUND 06Z TUESDAY AND MOVES
VERY QUICKLY THROUGH THE CWA. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW IT EXITING
THE AREA BY 18Z TUE TO 00Z WED WITH A VERY LARGE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE BUILDING IN DIRECTLY BEHIND IT. THERE IS MINIMAL MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT SO ONLY GOING WITH
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TUESDAY AND CLEARING THINGS OUT
RAPIDLY BEHIND IT. THIS BUILDING RIDGE BECOMES CENTERED OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF AND SERN U.S. BY 12Z WED AND CONTINUES TO DOMINATE
THE EXTENDED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. THE RIDGE ACTUALLY GETS
REINFORCED THU AS ANOTHER...STRONGER RIDGE BUILDS SE OUT OF THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS SECOND RIDGE WILL HELP CONTINUE TO KEEP
TEMPS LOW WITH MORNING LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S...AND DAYTIME HIGHS
MAINLY IN THE 70S WED THROUGH SUNDAY. 

01

&&

AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
MIX OF MVFR/IFR CIGS SPREADING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FROM
NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST. MOST AREAS WILL SEE IFR CIGS BY 09Z. CIGS
SHOULD BECOME VFR BY 18Z SUN WITH DIMINISHING SKY COVERAGE TOWARD
00Z MON. WINDS ARE MOSTLY NORTH TO NORTHEAST AROUND 5 TO 10 KTS.
WINDS SHOULD BECOME NORTHEAST OVER ALL AREAS BY 09Z AND REMAIN ON
THE EAST SIDE THROUGH THE FORECAST ALTHOUGH SPEEDS WILL SLOWLY
DIMINISH THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE GRADIENT WEAKENS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON CIGS THIS MORNING
HIGH ON REMAINING ELEMENTS

17

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          72  54  77  59 /   5   0   5  20 
ATLANTA         75  58  78  61 /   5   0   5  20 
BLAIRSVILLE     73  48  74  54 /  10   5   5  20 
CARTERSVILLE    76  54  79  57 /   5   0   5  20 
COLUMBUS        78  57  81  61 /   5   0   5  20 
GAINESVILLE     72  55  76  59 /   5   0   5  20 
MACON           75  53  80  60 /   5   0   5   5 
ROME            76  52  80  57 /   5   0   5  20 
PEACHTREE CITY  75  50  78  58 /   5   0   5  20 
VIDALIA         72  58  79  61 /  10   5   5   0 

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...17