196 FXUS62 KFFC 110808 AFDFFC AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 408 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015 .SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH MONDAY/... MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM. THE H5 UPPER LOW WILL WOBBLE ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA/GEORGIA COAST TODAY...THEN WEAKEN AND FILL AS IT LIFTS NORTHEAST ON MONDAY. THIS WILL KEEP A COOL NORTHEAST FLOW OVER THE CWA ALONG WITH MOISTURE IN THE FORM OF CLOUDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES MONDAY AFTERNOON...CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON. 17 .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... THE EXTENDED FORECAST STARTS OFF WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING SE OUT OF THE MS AND OH RIVER VALLEYS MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY MORNING. THIS FRONT PUSHES INTO NW GA AROUND 06Z TUESDAY AND MOVES VERY QUICKLY THROUGH THE CWA. THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW IT EXITING THE AREA BY 18Z TUE TO 00Z WED WITH A VERY LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING IN DIRECTLY BEHIND IT. THERE IS MINIMAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT SO ONLY GOING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TUESDAY AND CLEARING THINGS OUT RAPIDLY BEHIND IT. THIS BUILDING RIDGE BECOMES CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND SERN U.S. BY 12Z WED AND CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE EXTENDED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. THE RIDGE ACTUALLY GETS REINFORCED THU AS ANOTHER...STRONGER RIDGE BUILDS SE OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS SECOND RIDGE WILL HELP CONTINUE TO KEEP TEMPS LOW WITH MORNING LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S...AND DAYTIME HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 70S WED THROUGH SUNDAY. 01 && AVIATION... 06Z UPDATE... MIX OF MVFR/IFR CIGS SPREADING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST. MOST AREAS WILL SEE IFR CIGS BY 09Z. CIGS SHOULD BECOME VFR BY 18Z SUN WITH DIMINISHING SKY COVERAGE TOWARD 00Z MON. WINDS ARE MOSTLY NORTH TO NORTHEAST AROUND 5 TO 10 KTS. WINDS SHOULD BECOME NORTHEAST OVER ALL AREAS BY 09Z AND REMAIN ON THE EAST SIDE THROUGH THE FORECAST ALTHOUGH SPEEDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE GRADIENT WEAKENS. //ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE... MEDIUM ON CIGS THIS MORNING HIGH ON REMAINING ELEMENTS 17 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ATHENS 72 54 77 59 / 5 0 5 20 ATLANTA 75 58 78 61 / 5 0 5 20 BLAIRSVILLE 73 48 74 54 / 10 5 5 20 CARTERSVILLE 76 54 79 57 / 5 0 5 20 COLUMBUS 78 57 81 61 / 5 0 5 20 GAINESVILLE 72 55 76 59 / 5 0 5 20 MACON 75 53 80 60 / 5 0 5 5 ROME 76 52 80 57 / 5 0 5 20 PEACHTREE CITY 75 50 78 58 / 5 0 5 20 VIDALIA 72 58 79 61 / 10 5 5 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...17 LONG TERM....01 AVIATION...17