125 
FXUS64 KLIX 261427
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
827 AM CST WED FEB 26 2014

.UPDATE...
CONVECTION HAS ENDED OVER LAND LEAVING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN
ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. DRIER...MORE STABLE AIR IS SPREADING
SOUTH WHICH IS REDUCING THE RAINFALL RATES IN THE REMAINING
STRATIFORM RAIN. HAVE THE CANCELLED THE REMAINING FLASH FLOOD
WATCH. ALSO MADE SOME EDITS TO THE WEATHER GRIDS TO END MENTION OF
THUNDER EARLIER AND INDICATE MORE STRATIFORM VERSUS CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION. HIGHS TODAY HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED AND THE
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AS PREVIOUS FORECASTS
INDICATED. 22/TD

&&

.SOUNDING DISCUSSION...
OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS...TEMPERATURE PROFILE COOLED SIGNIFICANTLY
BELOW 925 MB DUE TO STRONG COLD FRONT...AND TEMPERATURES WARMED
ABOUT 5 DEREES CELCIUS AT 500 MB...PROVIDING A MUCH MORE STABLE
SOUNDING. MOISTURE PROFILE REMAINED MOIST WITH RAIN OCCURRING ON
STATION DURING BALLOON FLIGHT...PRECIPIBABLE WATER /PW/ NEAR 1.5
INCHES. BLENDED TOTAL PW SATELLITE PRODUCT INDICATED A PEAK OF 1.6
INCHES OCCURRED JUST IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT WHICH IS TWO
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A
PEAK WIND OF 285 DEGREES/119 KNOTS OCCURRED AT 177 MB/42000 FEET.
22/TD 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  47  27  53  30 /  60  20  10  10 
BTR  50  30  55  33 /  70  30  10  10 
ASD  53  32  55  30 /  80  30  10  10 
MSY  53  36  53  39 /  80  30  10  10 
GPT  54  32  55  32 /  80  20  10  10 
PQL  53  31  54  28 /  80  20  10  10 

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING 
     ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS 
     FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI 
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO 
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM 
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS 
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA 
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO 
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE 
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE 
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM...LAKE 
     BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS...AND 
     MISSISSIPPI SOUND. 

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING 
     ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS 
     FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI 
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO 
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM 
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS 
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA 
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO 
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE 
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE 
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM...LAKE 
     BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS...AND 
     MISSISSIPPI SOUND. 

&&

$$