125 FXUS64 KLIX 261427 AFDLIX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 827 AM CST WED FEB 26 2014 .UPDATE... CONVECTION HAS ENDED OVER LAND LEAVING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. DRIER...MORE STABLE AIR IS SPREADING SOUTH WHICH IS REDUCING THE RAINFALL RATES IN THE REMAINING STRATIFORM RAIN. HAVE THE CANCELLED THE REMAINING FLASH FLOOD WATCH. ALSO MADE SOME EDITS TO THE WEATHER GRIDS TO END MENTION OF THUNDER EARLIER AND INDICATE MORE STRATIFORM VERSUS CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION. HIGHS TODAY HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED AND THE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AS PREVIOUS FORECASTS INDICATED. 22/TD && .SOUNDING DISCUSSION... OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS...TEMPERATURE PROFILE COOLED SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW 925 MB DUE TO STRONG COLD FRONT...AND TEMPERATURES WARMED ABOUT 5 DEREES CELCIUS AT 500 MB...PROVIDING A MUCH MORE STABLE SOUNDING. MOISTURE PROFILE REMAINED MOIST WITH RAIN OCCURRING ON STATION DURING BALLOON FLIGHT...PRECIPIBABLE WATER /PW/ NEAR 1.5 INCHES. BLENDED TOTAL PW SATELLITE PRODUCT INDICATED A PEAK OF 1.6 INCHES OCCURRED JUST IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT WHICH IS TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A PEAK WIND OF 285 DEGREES/119 KNOTS OCCURRED AT 177 MB/42000 FEET. 22/TD && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MCB 47 27 53 30 / 60 20 10 10 BTR 50 30 55 33 / 70 30 10 10 ASD 53 32 55 30 / 80 30 10 10 MSY 53 36 53 39 / 80 30 10 10 GPT 54 32 55 32 / 80 20 10 10 PQL 53 31 54 28 / 80 20 10 10 && .LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...NONE. GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM...LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND. MS...NONE. GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM...LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND. && $$