AFOS product AFDHFO
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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDHFO
Product Timestamp: 2013-06-02 19:30 UTC

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950 
FXHW60 PHFO 021927
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
930 AM HST SUN JUN 2 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTH OF THE ALOHA STATE WILL CONTINUE TO 
STRENGTHEN TODAY AND KEEP LOCALLY STRONG TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE 
ISLANDS. THE TRADES WILL THEN DECREASE A LITTLE BY MID WEEK...BUT 
REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. EXPECT SCATTERED 
SHOWERS TO CONTINUE WITH RAINFALL FAVORING WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN 
AREAS. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A BROAD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM REMAINS FAR NE OF THE ALOHA 
STATE...WITH A SFC RIDGE EXTENDING SW TO ABOUT 350 MILES N OF 
OAHU...AND KEEPING A TRADE WIND WEATHER REGIME WITH LOCALLY STRONG 
WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS THROUGH MON. PRESSURE GRADIENTS ALOFT 
REMAIN TIGHT ENOUGH TO SUPPORT WINDS IN THE ADVISORY LVL OVER THE 
BIG ISLAND SUMMITS AND THE HALEAKALA SUMMIT IN MAUI. A WIND ADVISORY 
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE SUMMITS UNTIL THIS EVENING...AND IT MAY 
BE EXTENDED IF NECESSARY. ALSO...STRONG WINDS OVER THE WINDIER 
WATERS AROUND THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI COUNTY ARE SPREADING INTO 
KAHOOLAWE AND LEEWARD KOHALA...WHICH ARE ALSO INCLUDED IN THE WIND 
ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

THE AIR MASS OVER THE AREA REMAINS FAIRLY STABLE WITH A MID LVL 
RIDGE ALOFT PROVIDING AN INVERSION AROUND 5-6 KFT...WHICH CAN BE 
OBSERVED IN THE 12Z LIHUE AND HILO SOUNDING DATA. THIS SYNOPTIC 
SETUP WILL KEEP BRINGING HIGHER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS OVER WINDWARD 
AND MOUNTAIN AREAS...WITH SOME OF THE LARGER SHOWERS BEING PUSHED 
INTO LEEWARD LOCATIONS AT TIMES BY THE GUSTY TRADES...ESPECIALLY 
DURING THE MORNING HOURS.  

LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE WEAKENING THE HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE 
ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH THE TRADES DECREASING A 
LITTLE IN RESPONSE. THEY ALSO SUGGEST DECREASING MOISTURE FOR THE 
BEGINNING OF THE WEEK AS A DRIER AND MORE STABLE ATMOSPHERE 
ESTABLISHES ACROSS THE AREA. THEREFORE...EXPECT A DRYING TREND WITH 
THE TRADE WIND WEATHER REGIME PREVAILING THROUGH THE REST OF THE 
WEEK. 

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL EXCEPT FOR BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR OVER 
WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS TODAY...INCLUDING THE LANAI AIRPORT. WINDS 
MAY STRENGTHEN ENOUGH BY LATER MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON TO REQUIRE 
AN AIRMET FOR LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE.

&&

.MARINE...
PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NE WILL KEEP FRESH TO STRONG TRADE 
WINDS BLOWING ACROSS HAWAIIAN WATERS FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE...
MAINTAINING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY /SCA/ CONDITIONS IN AT LEAST SOME 
AREAS FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. 

THE BREEZY TRADE WINDS WILL BRING ROUGH AND CHOPPY SURF TO E FACING 
SHORES THROUGH THE WEEK...BUT HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 
ADVISORY LEVELS. A SMALL NW SWELL WILL ARRIVE MONDAY AND CONTINUE 
INTO WEDNESDAY. A SMALL SW SWELL WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...UNTIL A 
LARGER S SWELL ARRIVES LATE MONDAY. IF IT ARRIVES AS EXPECTED...THIS 
SWELL WILL PRODUCE SURF WELL ABOVE ADVISORY LEVELS ALONG S FACING 
SHORES OF ALL ISLANDS FROM TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY. 

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR THE SUMMITS OF MAUNA KEA...MAUNA LOA AND HALEAKALA 
AND FOR KAHOOLAWE AND LEEWARD KOHALA THROUGH 6 PM HST THIS EVENING.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 AM HST MONDAY FOR KAUAI 
NORTHWEST WATERS...KAUAI CHANNEL...AND KAUAI...OAHU...MAUI COUNTY 
AND BIG ISLAND WINDWARD WATERS.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM HST MONDAY FOR THE 
KAIWI...PAILOLO AND ALENUIHAHA CHANNELS...MAALAEA BAY...AND WATERS 
SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION...REYNES
MARINE...BIRCHARD
LAU...AVIATION
981 
FXHW60 PHFO 021936 CCA
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
930 AM HST SUN JUN 2 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTH OF THE ALOHA STATE WILL CONTINUE TO 
STRENGTHEN TODAY AND KEEP LOCALLY STRONG TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE 
ISLANDS. THE TRADES WILL THEN DECREASE A LITTLE BY MID WEEK...BUT 
REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. EXPECT SCATTERED 
SHOWERS TO CONTINUE WITH RAINFALL FAVORING WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN 
AREAS. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A BROAD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM REMAINS FAR NE OF THE ALOHA 
STATE...WITH A SFC RIDGE EXTENDING SW TO ABOUT 600 MILES N OF 
OAHU...AND KEEPING A TRADE WIND WEATHER REGIME WITH LOCALLY STRONG 
WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS THROUGH MON. PRESSURE GRADIENTS ALOFT 
REMAIN TIGHT ENOUGH TO SUPPORT WINDS IN THE ADVISORY LVL OVER THE 
BIG ISLAND SUMMITS AND THE HALEAKALA SUMMIT IN MAUI. A WIND ADVISORY 
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE SUMMITS UNTIL THIS EVENING...AND IT MAY 
BE EXTENDED IF NECESSARY. ALSO...STRONG WINDS OVER THE WINDIER 
WATERS AROUND THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI COUNTY ARE SPREADING INTO 
KAHOOLAWE AND LEEWARD KOHALA...WHICH ARE ALSO INCLUDED IN THE WIND 
ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

THE AIR MASS OVER THE AREA REMAINS FAIRLY STABLE WITH A MID LVL 
RIDGE ALOFT PROVIDING AN INVERSION AROUND 5-6 KFT...WHICH CAN BE 
OBSERVED IN THE 12Z LIHUE AND HILO SOUNDING DATA. THIS SYNOPTIC 
SETUP WILL KEEP BRINGING HIGHER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS OVER WINDWARD 
AND MOUNTAIN AREAS...WITH SOME OF THE LARGER SHOWERS BEING PUSHED 
INTO LEEWARD LOCATIONS AT TIMES BY THE GUSTY TRADES...ESPECIALLY 
DURING THE MORNING HOURS.  

LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE WEAKENING THE HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE 
ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH THE TRADES DECREASING A 
LITTLE IN RESPONSE. THEY ALSO SUGGEST DECREASING MOISTURE FOR THE 
BEGINNING OF THE WEEK AS A DRIER AND MORE STABLE ATMOSPHERE 
ESTABLISHES ACROSS THE AREA. THEREFORE...EXPECT A DRYING TREND WITH 
THE TRADE WIND WEATHER REGIME PREVAILING THROUGH THE REST OF THE 
WEEK. 

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL EXCEPT FOR BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR OVER 
WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS TODAY...INCLUDING THE LANAI AIRPORT. WINDS 
MAY STRENGTHEN ENOUGH BY LATER MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON TO REQUIRE 
AN AIRMET FOR LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE.

&&

.MARINE...
PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NE WILL KEEP FRESH TO STRONG TRADE 
WINDS BLOWING ACROSS HAWAIIAN WATERS FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE...
MAINTAINING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY /SCA/ CONDITIONS IN AT LEAST SOME 
AREAS FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. 

THE BREEZY TRADE WINDS WILL BRING ROUGH AND CHOPPY SURF TO E FACING 
SHORES THROUGH THE WEEK...BUT HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 
ADVISORY LEVELS. A SMALL NW SWELL WILL ARRIVE MONDAY AND CONTINUE 
INTO WEDNESDAY. A SMALL SW SWELL WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...UNTIL A 
LARGER S SWELL ARRIVES LATE MONDAY. IF IT ARRIVES AS EXPECTED...THIS 
SWELL WILL PRODUCE SURF WELL ABOVE ADVISORY LEVELS ALONG S FACING 
SHORES OF ALL ISLANDS FROM TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY. 

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR THE SUMMITS OF MAUNA KEA...MAUNA LOA AND HALEAKALA 
AND FOR KAHOOLAWE AND LEEWARD KOHALA THROUGH 6 PM HST THIS EVENING.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 AM HST MONDAY FOR KAUAI 
NORTHWEST WATERS...KAUAI CHANNEL...AND KAUAI...OAHU...MAUI COUNTY 
AND BIG ISLAND WINDWARD WATERS.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM HST MONDAY FOR THE 
KAIWI...PAILOLO AND ALENUIHAHA CHANNELS...MAALAEA BAY...AND WATERS 
SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION...REYNES
MARINE...BIRCHARD
LAU...AVIATION
166 
FXHW60 PHFO 021930
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
930 AM HST SUN JUN 2 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTH OF THE ALOHA STATE WILL CONTINUE TO 
STRENGTHEN TODAY AND KEEP LOCALLY STRONG TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE 
ISLANDS. THE TRADES WILL THEN DECREASE A LITTLE BY MID WEEK...BUT 
REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. EXPECT SCATTERED 
SHOWERS TO CONTINUE WITH RAINFALL FAVORING WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN 
AREAS. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A BROAD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM REMAINS FAR NE OF THE ALOHA 
STATE...WITH A SFC RIDGE EXTENDING SW TO ABOUT 350 MILES N OF 
OAHU...AND KEEPING A TRADE WIND WEATHER REGIME WITH LOCALLY STRONG 
WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS THROUGH MON. PRESSURE GRADIENTS ALOFT 
REMAIN TIGHT ENOUGH TO SUPPORT WINDS IN THE ADVISORY LVL OVER THE 
BIG ISLAND SUMMITS AND THE HALEAKALA SUMMIT IN MAUI. A WIND ADVISORY 
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE SUMMITS UNTIL THIS EVENING...AND IT MAY 
BE EXTENDED IF NECESSARY. ALSO...STRONG WINDS OVER THE WINDIER 
WATERS AROUND THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI COUNTY ARE SPREADING INTO 
KAHOOLAWE AND LEEWARD KOHALA...WHICH ARE ALSO INCLUDED IN THE WIND 
ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING. 

THE AIR MASS OVER THE AREA REMAINS FAIRLY STABLE WITH A MID LVL 
RIDGE ALOFT PROVIDING AN INVERSION AROUND 5-6 KFT...WHICH CAN BE 
OBSERVED IN THE 12Z LIHUE AND HILO SOUNDING DATA. THIS SYNOPTIC 
SETUP WILL KEEP BRINGING HIGHER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS OVER WINDWARD 
AND MOUNTAIN AREAS...WITH SOME OF THE LARGER SHOWERS BEING PUSHED 
INTO LEEWARD LOCATIONS AT TIMES BY THE GUSTY TRADES...ESPECIALLY 
DURING THE MORNING HOURS.  

LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE WEAKENING THE HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE 
ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH THE TRADES DECREASING A 
LITTLE IN RESPONSE. THEY ALSO SUGGEST DECREASING MOISTURE FOR THE 
BEGINNING OF THE WEEK AS A DRIER AND MORE STABLE ATMOSPHERE 
ESTABLISHES ACROSS THE AREA. THEREFORE...EXPECT A DRYING TREND WITH 
THE TRADE WIND WEATHER REGIME PREVAILING THROUGH THE REST OF THE 
WEEK. 

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL EXCEPT FOR BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR OVER 
WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS TODAY...INCLUDING THE LANAI AIRPORT. WINDS 
MAY STRENGTHEN ENOUGH BY LATER MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON TO REQUIRE 
AN AIRMET FOR LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE.

&&

.MARINE...
PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NE WILL KEEP FRESH TO STRONG TRADE 
WINDS BLOWING ACROSS HAWAIIAN WATERS FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE...
MAINTAINING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY /SCA/ CONDITIONS IN AT LEAST SOME 
AREAS FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. 

THE BREEZY TRADE WINDS WILL BRING ROUGH AND CHOPPY SURF TO E FACING 
SHORES THROUGH THE WEEK...BUT HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 
ADVISORY LEVELS. A SMALL NW SWELL WILL ARRIVE MONDAY AND CONTINUE 
INTO WEDNESDAY. A SMALL SW SWELL WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...UNTIL A 
LARGER S SWELL ARRIVES LATE MONDAY. IF IT ARRIVES AS EXPECTED...THIS 
SWELL WILL PRODUCE SURF WELL ABOVE ADVISORY LEVELS ALONG S FACING 
SHORES OF ALL ISLANDS FROM TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY. 

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR THE SUMMITS OF MAUNA KEA...MAUNA LOA AND HALEAKALA 
AND FOR KAHOOLAWE AND LEEWARD KOHALA THROUGH 6 PM HST THIS EVENING.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 AM HST MONDAY FOR KAUAI 
NORTHWEST WATERS...KAUAI CHANNEL...AND KAUAI...OAHU...MAUI COUNTY 
AND BIG ISLAND WINDWARD WATERS.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM HST MONDAY FOR THE 
KAIWI...PAILOLO AND ALENUIHAHA CHANNELS...MAALAEA BAY...AND WATERS 
SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION...REYNES
MARINE...BIRCHARD
LAU...AVIATION