AFOS product AFDBMX
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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDBMX
Product Timestamp: 2012-06-22 15:04 UTC

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FXUS64 KBMX 221504
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1004 AM CDT FRI JUN 22 2012

.UPDATE...
FOR MORNING DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ONLY MADE MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH
THIS UPDATE. TRIMMED POPS AND LEFT THE NORTHEAST WITH LESS THAN A
20 POP FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CONTINUE TO OBSERVE LIMITED
MOISTURE OVER THE AREA WITH PWAT VALUES AROUND 1.3 INCHES. THERE
IS EVIDENCE OF SLIGHTLY BETTER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST WHERE A FEW SHOWERS DEVELOPED LATE YESTERDAY EVENING.
KBMX MORNING SOUNDING SHOWS 700 MB TEMP HAS DECREASED FROM 11 TO
9 DEG C. THE NORTHEAST WILL ALSO HAVE THE LOWEST 500 TO 700 MB
HEIGHTS/TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON THAT MAY ALLOW FOR SOME VERY ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM TO DEVELOP. CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA WILL BE PRECLUDED BY RELATIVELY WARM
MID LEVEL TEMPS AND A LACK OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE. TEMPS HAVE
WARMED QUICKLY THIS MORNING AND A VERY WARM AFTERNOON IS ON TAP
WITH READINGS WELL INTO THE 90S.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS MAY
SHIFT DURING THE DAY TODAY TO THE NORTH AS A WEAK BOUNDARY NEARS.
ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED CHANCE FOR TSRA EXISTS...THINKING THAT IT IS
TOO SMALL TO MENTION AT TERMINALS AT THIS TIME. SOUTHERN AREAS
MGM/TOI SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF WEAK BOUNDARY AND KEEP EASTERLY
WINDS. SCATTERED CUMULUS WILL BE PRESENT AT TIMES 5-10 KFT AND
COULD PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS COULD INHIBIT MVFR
VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE SOUTH. ALTHOUGH MODELS DO NOT INDICATE A
DIRECT IMPACT TO TAFS...OTHER THAN HOT FROM THE TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE OVER THE GULF...WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR ANY
CHANGES IN GUIDANCE.

08/MNK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     93  68  95  69  96 /  10  10  10   0   0 
ANNISTON    93  69  94  71  95 /  10  10  10   0   0 
BIRMINGHAM  94  71  95  73  96 /  10  10   0   0   0 
TUSCALOOSA  96  70  97  72  98 /   0   0   0   0   0 
CALERA      93  71  95  71  96 /  10  10   0   0   0 
AUBURN      92  69  94  70  94 /   0   0  10   0   0 
MONTGOMERY  94  71  95  73  95 /   0   0  10   0  10 
TROY        93  67  94  70  94 /   0   0  10   0  10 

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE. 

&&

$$

87/08