000 
FXUS64 KFWD 181134
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
528 AM CST SUN NOV 18 2007

.AVIATION...
528 AM CST
MAIN AVIATION CONCERN NEXT 24 HOURS INVOLVES TIMING THE DISSIPATING 
OF STRATUS THIS MORNING AND REDEVELOPMENT OF STRATUS MONDAY MORNING. 
IFR CIGS WILL BE WIDESPREAD THIS MORNING...BUT VSBYS WILL ONLY 
TEMPORARILY DROP TO BLO 2SM AT TAF SITES. COULD BE A SHOWER VCNTY 
KACT THIS MORNING...OTHERWISE NO PCPN EXPECTED AT TAF SITES THROUGH 
TONIGHT. WITH WEAK LOW LEVEL WINDS...EXPECT CIGS TO LIFT AND 
DISSIPATE 15-16Z...PERHAPS LATER IN AREAS WHERE MOISTURE THICKEST. 
EXPECT A REPEAT OF CONDITIONS AGAIN MONDAY MORNING...AND WILL BRING 
IFR CIGS BACK TO ALL SITES BY 07Z MONDAY.  /09

&&

.DISCUSSION...
405 AM CST
A SHORTWAVE OVER CENTRAL TEXAS AS OF 09Z WILL MOVE EAST TODAY.
AREAS OF FOG HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS ALL BUT THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES
AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MID MORNING. A FEW SPOTS WILL
SEE SOME DENSE FOG BUT AM NOT CONFIDENT THAT IT WILL BE
WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO WARRANT A DENSE FOG ADVISORY. WE WILL RE-
EVALUATE THIS AROUND SUNRISE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE
ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN THIRD OF NORTH TEXAS. THE RAIN WILL
GRADUALLY END FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SHORTWAVE
MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.

WELL ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 
TUESDAY NIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY. FORTUNATELY 
THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER THAN THERE WERE A FEW DAYS 
AGO SO THE FIRE DANGER SHOULD BE NOT BE TOO HIGH. WE MAY SEE SOME 
SHOWERS OVER THE EASTERN COUNTIES TUESDAY...AND THERE WILL BE A 
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN 
ZONES WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS SOUTH INTO NORTH TEXAS. 
RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IT WILL BE WINDY AND
DRIER BEHIND THE FRONT. CURRENT FORECAST MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITIES FOR WEDNESDAY ARE JUST SHORT OF THE FIRE DANGER/RED FLAG 
LEVELS ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. IT STILL 
LOOKS BREEZY/WINDY ON THANKSGIVING DAY AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL BE LOWER. THE INCREASED FIRE DANGER WILL ADDRESSED IN THE 
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THANKSGIVING DAY 
THROUGH FRIDAY. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN FRIDAY 
NIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS THE WEST AND SOUTH...AND AREAWIDE ON NEXT 
SUNDAY. #58

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  80  60  78  64  82 /  10  10   0  10  10 
WACO, TX              81  60  79  65  83 /  20  10  10  10  20 
PARIS, TX             75  56  77  60  78 /  20  10  10  10  30 
DENTON, TX            80  58  80  62  81 /  10  10   0   0  10 
MCKINNEY, TX          78  55  77  62  80 /  20  10   0  10  10 
DALLAS, TX            80  61  79  64  82 /  10  10   0  10  10 
TERRELL, TX           78  59  79  64  80 /  20  10  10  10  20 
CORSICANA, TX         79  60  79  64  81 /  30  10  10  10  20 
TEMPLE, TX            81  59  81  64  81 /  20  10  10  10  20 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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