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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDFWD Product Timestamp: 2004-11-09 16:28 UTC
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182 FXUS64 KFWD 091628 AAB AFDFWD AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1027 AM CST TUE NOV 9 2004 .PUBLIC UPDATE... CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AS 24 HOUR SFC TEMP CHANGES AROUND 5 DEGREES COOLER. WITH MORE CLOUDS AROUND...LOWER 70S SEEMS REASONABLE. WILL NOT UPDATE ZONES...BUT WILL UPDATE DIGITAL PRODUCTS AS SFC DEW POINTS NEEDED TO BE LOWERED. 80 && .AVIATION... LOW LEVEL FLOW IS TURNING MORE SOUTHEASTERLY TODAY AND SPEEDS WILL COME UP A LITTLE THIS AFTERNOON... THEN AGAIN AROUND 06Z TONIGHT. AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BEGINS TO SURGE NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT... MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER KACT AROUND 10Z... INTO THE KDFW TRACON AROUND 12Z. 75 && .DISCUSSION... 410 AM. AFTER A WEEK OF PLEASANT WEATHER ACROSS NORTH TEXAS SOME CHANGES ARE ON THE HORIZON. THE WEST COAST UPPER LOW IS FINALLY OPENING UP AND LIFTING NORTHEAST. FOR TODAY...HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AND THEY SHOULD HELP KEEP TEMPS DOWN A FEW DEGREES FROM YESTERDAY...EVEN THOUGH 850 MB TEMPS WILL WARM A DEGREE OR TWO. BY TONIGHT... ENERGY FROM THIS SYSTEM...COMBINED WITH SOME INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORM TO THE NORTHWEST SECTION. WILL KEEP SOME 20 TO 30 PERCENT RAIN CHANCES FOR THE ENTIRE REGION WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY MORNING AND BRING COOLER AND WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. SINCE MOST OF THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH OF THE REGION...WILL KEEP POPS LOW ON THURSDAY. WINDS WILL STAY IN THE 10 TO 20 MPH RANGE THURSDAY NIGHT AND SOME POST FRONTAL CLOUDS WILL LINGER. THEREFORE...MOST STATIONS WILL STAY ABOVE FREEZING...THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE IN THE NORTHWEST ZONES WHERE TEMPERATURE MAY BRIEFLY FALL TO FREEZING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. COOL AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ON FRIDAY AND WINDS WILL DECREASE AND THIS WILL HELP A FEW MORE LOCATION TO REACH FREEZING BY SATURDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...ANOTHER UPPER LOW APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL BRING INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS AND THIS SHOULD SLOW COOLING. THEREFORE...WILL KEEP ALL LOCATIONS SOUTHEAST OF A BONHAM...DENTON...MINERAL WELLS...TO EASTLAND LINE ABOVE FREEZING SATURDAY MORNING. RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN SATURDAY AND INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER LOW. SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER THROUGH MONDAY AS MOISTURE WRAPS AROUND EXITING SYSTEM. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 72 55 73 57 / 0 10 20 20 WACO, TX 75 55 77 58 / 0 10 20 20 PARIS, TX 70 50 70 56 / 0 10 30 30 DENTON, TX 71 54 73 53 / 0 10 20 20 MCKINNEY, TX 71 54 73 56 / 0 10 20 20 DALLAS, TX 72 55 73 57 / 0 10 20 20 TERRELL, TX 73 54 73 57 / 0 10 30 30 CORSICANA, TX 74 54 75 58 / 0 10 30 30 TEMPLE, TX 75 55 77 59 / 0 10 20 20 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. && $$ 79