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Displaying AFOS PIL: AFDBOX Product Timestamp: 2002-02-05 12:19 UTC
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000
FXUS61 KBOX 051220 AAA
AFDBOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION..UPDATED..
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
719 AM EST TUE FEB 5 2002
...COLD TODAY AND SEEMINGLY BENIGN FOR A WHILE...
MARINE: LITTLE CHG FROM GOING FCST. SEA GOING CONDS IMPROVE LATER
WED. 44011 HAS HAD PLANS FOR A REINSTALLATION ARD 2/7.
WIND MAY COME DOWN THIS AFTN BUT RESURGE TNGT TONIGHT WITH
CAA. NGM 3K/6K WINDS IMPRESSIVE.
WCI: FEW READINGS BLO ZERO NEXT 24 HRS...MAINLY HIGH TERRAIN.
MOS: FOR NOW CLOSER TO AVN GUIDANCE THRU 5 PRDS. WILL MERGE TWD NEW
00Z/5 MEX WHEN IT ARRIVE ARD 0750Z. NO FEEL FOR MEX ATTM
SINCE DAY 1 OF THE STRING BUT ONCE WE LOSE THIS PRETTY COLD
AIRMASS THE NEXT 24 HRS..IT CUD WARM UP TO MEX VALUES.
BOSTON COLDEST MORNING OF THE YEAR TO DATE IS NOW.
TDY: SUNNY WITH A CHILL WIND. BOS MAY RIVAL FOR ITS COLDEST MAX OF
THE WINTER SO FAR TODAY (30 1/19). LE FLURRIES AND SCT SW-
ON CC PUSH OUT TO SEA LATER THIS AM AS BL WIND DRIFTS MORE
WLY. TRIMMED MOS TEMPS BY 1-2F. MWN -13 AT 11Z...SUPPORTS
TEMP CUT. PATCHY CLDNS THIS AFTN.
TNGT: CLEAR THEN A MO CLDY PRD. SCT FLURRIES RUFLY MHT-ORH-BDL LN
W SECONDARY REINFORCING CFP. MIDWAY BTWN AVN/ETA SOLNS
A CHILLING WIND CONTS TO BE A FACTOR.
WED: VAR/CLDNS CHC OF FLURRIES NW FA HILLS? NOT SO SURE ABT AVN
WARMING TEMPS. MIDWAY BTWN AVBL 00Z MOS GUIDANCE.
SLIGHTLY INTERESTING WSW FLOW CLDS AND POSS FLURRY SITN
FOR RTE 6 SWD ON CC.
THU: FRINGE CLDNS...BUT MAYBE QPF FOR CAPE COD. THE ETA EXT AND
UKMET RAISE A DECENT CHC OF QPF FOR CC...THIS IN KEEPING
WITH YDY MRF POP ENSEMBLES. NEED ANOTHER MODEL RUN ON THIS.
FRI: PC. MAYBE COASTAL FLURRIES?
SAT: IC.
SUN/MON PRETTY GOOD CHC PCPN (BL WARMING FOR R AT LEAST S COAST) AND
HAND EDIT MRF DAY 6/7 TKNS. FOR AT LEAST A WEEK MODELS HAVE BEEN
ADVERTIZING GULF COAST-E COAST QPF CONNECTION. FAIRLY APPARENT THAT
SOMETHING IS GOING TO HAPPEN IN THIS REGARD THURSDAY 2/7 AND ODDS MAY
START FAVORING SOMETHING FURTHER N AND MORE EVENTFUL FOR OUR AREA
ABOUT A WEEK FROM NOW. MRF IS GOING TO BE FOR NOW PEGGED AS TOO FAST
AND NOT DEEP ENOUGH. UKMET AND LESSER SO NOGAPS DAY 5/6 MAY HAVE A
DECENT IDEA OF MORE SWD SLOWER SOLN. FOR NOW PAINTED IT BROADBRUSH 50
POPS CHC.
TIL THEN BLV ITS BIDE THE TIME.
AVN/MRF: TRANSITION TO GLOBAL FCST MODEL (GFS) 4X/DAY 10
MEMBERS/CYCLE SOMETIME LATER THIS YEAR EVEN MORE HIGHLY
RESOLVED THAN CURRENTLY THRU 90 HRS THEREAFTR LESS RESOLVED
TO LIMIT NOISE FROM MANY SHORT WAVES AND ALLOW MORE
REALISTIC ENSEMBLE SOLNS. FEW BUFKIT AVN SOUNDINGS IN 3RLY
INTERVALS TO 72 HRS MAY BCM AVBL THIS SUMMER? OTRW FEW MODEL
CHANGES REST OF THIS YEAR AFTR AVN/MRF UPGRADE TO GFS.
12Z/4 ECMWF AND 00Z/5 UK/MM5/SEF/AVN/ETA/NOGAPS REVIEWED FOR THIS
AFD AS WELL CANADIAN ENSEMBL 10 DAY MEAN TEMP.
MAYBE MORE IN 545 AM AFD.
.BOX...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...GLW FOR OUTER WATERS MERRIMACK TO MONTAUK.
SCA FOR REMAINING WATERS INCLDG...BOS HRBR AND NARRA BAY.
$$
DRAG
FXUS61 KBOX 051220 AAA
AFDBOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION..UPDATED..
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
719 AM EST TUE FEB 5 2002
...COLD TODAY AND SEEMINGLY BENIGN FOR A WHILE...
MARINE: LITTLE CHG FROM GOING FCST. SEA GOING CONDS IMPROVE LATER
WED. 44011 HAS HAD PLANS FOR A REINSTALLATION ARD 2/7.
WIND MAY COME DOWN THIS AFTN BUT RESURGE TNGT TONIGHT WITH
CAA. NGM 3K/6K WINDS IMPRESSIVE.
WCI: FEW READINGS BLO ZERO NEXT 24 HRS...MAINLY HIGH TERRAIN.
MOS: FOR NOW CLOSER TO AVN GUIDANCE THRU 5 PRDS. WILL MERGE TWD NEW
00Z/5 MEX WHEN IT ARRIVE ARD 0750Z. NO FEEL FOR MEX ATTM
SINCE DAY 1 OF THE STRING BUT ONCE WE LOSE THIS PRETTY COLD
AIRMASS THE NEXT 24 HRS..IT CUD WARM UP TO MEX VALUES.
BOSTON COLDEST MORNING OF THE YEAR TO DATE IS NOW.
TDY: SUNNY WITH A CHILL WIND. BOS MAY RIVAL FOR ITS COLDEST MAX OF
THE WINTER SO FAR TODAY (30 1/19). LE FLURRIES AND SCT SW-
ON CC PUSH OUT TO SEA LATER THIS AM AS BL WIND DRIFTS MORE
WLY. TRIMMED MOS TEMPS BY 1-2F. MWN -13 AT 11Z...SUPPORTS
TEMP CUT. PATCHY CLDNS THIS AFTN.
TNGT: CLEAR THEN A MO CLDY PRD. SCT FLURRIES RUFLY MHT-ORH-BDL LN
W SECONDARY REINFORCING CFP. MIDWAY BTWN AVN/ETA SOLNS
A CHILLING WIND CONTS TO BE A FACTOR.
WED: VAR/CLDNS CHC OF FLURRIES NW FA HILLS? NOT SO SURE ABT AVN
WARMING TEMPS. MIDWAY BTWN AVBL 00Z MOS GUIDANCE.
SLIGHTLY INTERESTING WSW FLOW CLDS AND POSS FLURRY SITN
FOR RTE 6 SWD ON CC.
THU: FRINGE CLDNS...BUT MAYBE QPF FOR CAPE COD. THE ETA EXT AND
UKMET RAISE A DECENT CHC OF QPF FOR CC...THIS IN KEEPING
WITH YDY MRF POP ENSEMBLES. NEED ANOTHER MODEL RUN ON THIS.
FRI: PC. MAYBE COASTAL FLURRIES?
SAT: IC.
SUN/MON PRETTY GOOD CHC PCPN (BL WARMING FOR R AT LEAST S COAST) AND
HAND EDIT MRF DAY 6/7 TKNS. FOR AT LEAST A WEEK MODELS HAVE BEEN
ADVERTIZING GULF COAST-E COAST QPF CONNECTION. FAIRLY APPARENT THAT
SOMETHING IS GOING TO HAPPEN IN THIS REGARD THURSDAY 2/7 AND ODDS MAY
START FAVORING SOMETHING FURTHER N AND MORE EVENTFUL FOR OUR AREA
ABOUT A WEEK FROM NOW. MRF IS GOING TO BE FOR NOW PEGGED AS TOO FAST
AND NOT DEEP ENOUGH. UKMET AND LESSER SO NOGAPS DAY 5/6 MAY HAVE A
DECENT IDEA OF MORE SWD SLOWER SOLN. FOR NOW PAINTED IT BROADBRUSH 50
POPS CHC.
TIL THEN BLV ITS BIDE THE TIME.
AVN/MRF: TRANSITION TO GLOBAL FCST MODEL (GFS) 4X/DAY 10
MEMBERS/CYCLE SOMETIME LATER THIS YEAR EVEN MORE HIGHLY
RESOLVED THAN CURRENTLY THRU 90 HRS THEREAFTR LESS RESOLVED
TO LIMIT NOISE FROM MANY SHORT WAVES AND ALLOW MORE
REALISTIC ENSEMBLE SOLNS. FEW BUFKIT AVN SOUNDINGS IN 3RLY
INTERVALS TO 72 HRS MAY BCM AVBL THIS SUMMER? OTRW FEW MODEL
CHANGES REST OF THIS YEAR AFTR AVN/MRF UPGRADE TO GFS.
12Z/4 ECMWF AND 00Z/5 UK/MM5/SEF/AVN/ETA/NOGAPS REVIEWED FOR THIS
AFD AS WELL CANADIAN ENSEMBL 10 DAY MEAN TEMP.
.BOX...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...GLW FOR OUTER WATERS MERRIMACK TO MONTAUK.
SCA FOR REMAINING WATERS INCLDG...BOS HRBR AND NARRA BAY.
$$
DRAG
000
FXUS61 KBOX 051220 AAA
AFDBOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION..UPDATED..
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
719 AM EST TUE FEB 5 2002
...COLD TODAY AND SEEMINGLY BENIGN FOR A WHILE...
MARINE: LITTLE CHG FROM GOING FCST. SEA GOING CONDS IMPROVE LATER
WED. 44011 HAS HAD PLANS FOR A REINSTALLATION ARD 2/7.
WIND MAY COME DOWN THIS AFTN BUT RESURGE TNGT TONIGHT WITH
CAA. NGM 3K/6K WINDS IMPRESSIVE.
WCI: FEW READINGS BLO ZERO NEXT 24 HRS...MAINLY HIGH TERRAIN.
MOS: FOR NOW CLOSER TO AVN GUIDANCE THRU 5 PRDS. WILL MERGE TWD NEW
00Z/5 MEX WHEN IT ARRIVE ARD 0750Z. NO FEEL FOR MEX ATTM
SINCE DAY 1 OF THE STRING BUT ONCE WE LOSE THIS PRETTY COLD
AIRMASS THE NEXT 24 HRS..IT CUD WARM UP TO MEX VALUES.
BOSTON COLDEST MORNING OF THE YEAR TO DATE IS NOW.
TDY: SUNNY WITH A CHILL WIND. BOS MAY RIVAL FOR ITS COLDEST MAX OF
THE WINTER SO FAR TODAY (30 1/19). LE FLURRIES AND SCT SW-
ON CC PUSH OUT TO SEA LATER THIS AM AS BL WIND DRIFTS MORE
WLY. TRIMMED MOS TEMPS BY 1-2F. MWN -13 AT 11Z...SUPPORTS
TEMP CUT. PATCHY CLDNS THIS AFTN.
TNGT: CLEAR THEN A MO CLDY PRD. SCT FLURRIES RUFLY MHT-ORH-BDL LN
W SECONDARY REINFORCING CFP. MIDWAY BTWN AVN/ETA SOLNS
A CHILLING WIND CONTS TO BE A FACTOR.
WED: VAR/CLDNS CHC OF FLURRIES NW FA HILLS? NOT SO SURE ABT AVN
WARMING TEMPS. MIDWAY BTWN AVBL 00Z MOS GUIDANCE.
SLIGHTLY INTERESTING WSW FLOW CLDS AND POSS FLURRY SITN
FOR RTE 6 SWD ON CC.
THU: FRINGE CLDNS...BUT MAYBE QPF FOR CAPE COD. THE ETA EXT AND
UKMET RAISE A DECENT CHC OF QPF FOR CC...THIS IN KEEPING
WITH YDY MRF POP ENSEMBLES. NEED ANOTHER MODEL RUN ON THIS.
FRI: PC. MAYBE COASTAL FLURRIES?
SAT: IC.
SUN/MON PRETTY GOOD CHC PCPN (BL WARMING FOR R AT LEAST S COAST) AND
HAND EDIT MRF DAY 6/7 TKNS. FOR AT LEAST A WEEK MODELS HAVE BEEN
ADVERTIZING GULF COAST-E COAST QPF CONNECTION. FAIRLY APPARENT THAT
SOMETHING IS GOING TO HAPPEN IN THIS REGARD THURSDAY 2/7 AND ODDS MAY
START FAVORING SOMETHING FURTHER N AND MORE EVENTFUL FOR OUR AREA
ABOUT A WEEK FROM NOW. MRF IS GOING TO BE FOR NOW PEGGED AS TOO FAST
AND NOT DEEP ENOUGH. UKMET AND LESSER SO NOGAPS DAY 5/6 MAY HAVE A
DECENT IDEA OF MORE SWD SLOWER SOLN. FOR NOW PAINTED IT BROADBRUSH 50
POPS CHC.
TIL THEN BLV ITS BIDE THE TIME.
AVN/MRF: TRANSITION TO GLOBAL FCST MODEL (GFS) 4X/DAY 10
MEMBERS/CYCLE SOMETIME LATER THIS YEAR EVEN MORE HIGHLY
RESOLVED THAN CURRENTLY THRU 90 HRS THEREAFTR LESS RESOLVED
TO LIMIT NOISE FROM MANY SHORT WAVES AND ALLOW MORE
REALISTIC ENSEMBLE SOLNS. FEW BUFKIT AVN SOUNDINGS IN 3RLY
INTERVALS TO 72 HRS MAY BCM AVBL THIS SUMMER? OTRW FEW MODEL
CHANGES REST OF THIS YEAR AFTR AVN/MRF UPGRADE TO GFS.
12Z/4 ECMWF AND 00Z/5 UK/MM5/SEF/AVN/ETA/NOGAPS REVIEWED FOR THIS
AFD AS WELL CANADIAN ENSEMBL 10 DAY MEAN TEMP.
MAYBE MORE IN 545 AM AFD.
.BOX...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...GLW FOR OUTER WATERS MERRIMACK TO MONTAUK.
SCA FOR REMAINING WATERS INCLDG...BOS HRBR AND NARRA BAY.
$$
DRAG
000
FXUS61 KBOX 051220 AAA
AFDBOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION..UPDATED..
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
719 AM EST TUE FEB 5 2002
...COLD TODAY AND SEEMINGLY BENIGN FOR A WHILE...
MARINE: LITTLE CHG FROM GOING FCST. SEA GOING CONDS IMPROVE LATER
WED. 44011 HAS HAD PLANS FOR A REINSTALLATION ARD 2/7.
WIND MAY COME DOWN THIS AFTN BUT RESURGE TNGT TONIGHT WITH
CAA. NGM 3K/6K WINDS IMPRESSIVE.
WCI: FEW READINGS BLO ZERO NEXT 24 HRS...MAINLY HIGH TERRAIN.
MOS: FOR NOW CLOSER TO AVN GUIDANCE THRU 5 PRDS. WILL MERGE TWD NEW
00Z/5 MEX WHEN IT ARRIVE ARD 0750Z. NO FEEL FOR MEX ATTM
SINCE DAY 1 OF THE STRING BUT ONCE WE LOSE THIS PRETTY COLD
AIRMASS THE NEXT 24 HRS..IT CUD WARM UP TO MEX VALUES.
BOSTON COLDEST MORNING OF THE YEAR TO DATE IS NOW.
TDY: SUNNY WITH A CHILL WIND. BOS MAY RIVAL FOR ITS COLDEST MAX OF
THE WINTER SO FAR TODAY (30 1/19). LE FLURRIES AND SCT SW-
ON CC PUSH OUT TO SEA LATER THIS AM AS BL WIND DRIFTS MORE
WLY. TRIMMED MOS TEMPS BY 1-2F. MWN -13 AT 11Z...SUPPORTS
TEMP CUT. PATCHY CLDNS THIS AFTN.
TNGT: CLEAR THEN A MO CLDY PRD. SCT FLURRIES RUFLY MHT-ORH-BDL LN
W SECONDARY REINFORCING CFP. MIDWAY BTWN AVN/ETA SOLNS
A CHILLING WIND CONTS TO BE A FACTOR.
WED: VAR/CLDNS CHC OF FLURRIES NW FA HILLS? NOT SO SURE ABT AVN
WARMING TEMPS. MIDWAY BTWN AVBL 00Z MOS GUIDANCE.
SLIGHTLY INTERESTING WSW FLOW CLDS AND POSS FLURRY SITN
FOR RTE 6 SWD ON CC.
THU: FRINGE CLDNS...BUT MAYBE QPF FOR CAPE COD. THE ETA EXT AND
UKMET RAISE A DECENT CHC OF QPF FOR CC...THIS IN KEEPING
WITH YDY MRF POP ENSEMBLES. NEED ANOTHER MODEL RUN ON THIS.
FRI: PC. MAYBE COASTAL FLURRIES?
SAT: IC.
SUN/MON PRETTY GOOD CHC PCPN (BL WARMING FOR R AT LEAST S COAST) AND
HAND EDIT MRF DAY 6/7 TKNS. FOR AT LEAST A WEEK MODELS HAVE BEEN
ADVERTIZING GULF COAST-E COAST QPF CONNECTION. FAIRLY APPARENT THAT
SOMETHING IS GOING TO HAPPEN IN THIS REGARD THURSDAY 2/7 AND ODDS MAY
START FAVORING SOMETHING FURTHER N AND MORE EVENTFUL FOR OUR AREA
ABOUT A WEEK FROM NOW. MRF IS GOING TO BE FOR NOW PEGGED AS TOO FAST
AND NOT DEEP ENOUGH. UKMET AND LESSER SO NOGAPS DAY 5/6 MAY HAVE A
DECENT IDEA OF MORE SWD SLOWER SOLN. FOR NOW PAINTED IT BROADBRUSH 50
POPS CHC.
TIL THEN BLV ITS BIDE THE TIME.
AVN/MRF: TRANSITION TO GLOBAL FCST MODEL (GFS) 4X/DAY 10
MEMBERS/CYCLE SOMETIME LATER THIS YEAR EVEN MORE HIGHLY
RESOLVED THAN CURRENTLY THRU 90 HRS THEREAFTR LESS RESOLVED
TO LIMIT NOISE FROM MANY SHORT WAVES AND ALLOW MORE
REALISTIC ENSEMBLE SOLNS. FEW BUFKIT AVN SOUNDINGS IN 3RLY
INTERVALS TO 72 HRS MAY BCM AVBL THIS SUMMER? OTRW FEW MODEL
CHANGES REST OF THIS YEAR AFTR AVN/MRF UPGRADE TO GFS.
12Z/4 ECMWF AND 00Z/5 UK/MM5/SEF/AVN/ETA/NOGAPS REVIEWED FOR THIS
AFD AS WELL CANADIAN ENSEMBL 10 DAY MEAN TEMP.
.BOX...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...GLW FOR OUTER WATERS MERRIMACK TO MONTAUK.
SCA FOR REMAINING WATERS INCLDG...BOS HRBR AND NARRA BAY.
$$
DRAG