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141 
ACPQ70 PGUM 140658
PSHGUM

POST TROPICAL CYCLONE REPORT...SUPER TYPHOON HAGIBIS (20W)
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
330 PM CHST MON OCT 14 2019

PRELIMINARY

REPORT FROM THE EFFECTS OF SUPER TYPHOON HAGIBIS (20W) FROM 5 OCT TO 10 
OCT 2019 AS IT PASSED THROUGH THE WFO GUAM AOR FROM WEST OF THE 
MARSHALL ISLANDS.  HAGIBIS EVENTUALLY TRACKED OVER THE ISLAND OF 
ANATAHAN AS AN INTENSE SUPER TYPHOON BEFORE EXITING THE AOR BOUNDARY TO 
THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 25N139E AT 7PM ON 10 OCTOBER. THE RADIUS OF 
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACCOMPANYING HAGIBIS 
AFTER ITS PASSAGE THROUGH THE MARIANA ISLANDS WAS EXTREMELY LARGE WITH 
TYPHOON WINDS EXTENDING OUTWARD 115 MILES AND TROPICAL STORM WINDS 
EXTENDING OUT 365 MILES.  

HAGIBIS WAS UNUSUAL IN BOTH ITS SPEED OF MOTION AND ITS INTENSIFICATION 
RATE.  ON ITS TREK TO THE MARIANA ISLANDS...HAGIBIS TRAVELED AT SPEEDS 
FROM 17 TO 21 MPH. IT PASSED ACROSS THE UN-POPULATED VOLCANIC ISLAND OF 
ANATAHAN ABOUT 80 MILES NORTH OF SAIPAN AT 1 AM ON TUESDAY 8 OCT WITH 
160 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS. THE STORM MOVED AROUND 1000 MILES IN LESS THAN 
60 HOURS. HAGIBIS UNDERWENT THE RELATIVELY RARE INTENSIFICATION PROCESS 
KNOWN AS “EXPLOSIVE DEEPENING”.  FROM 1 AM MONDAY 7 OCT UNTIL 1 AM 
TUESDAY OCT 8...HAGIBIS INTENSIFIED FROM 60 MPH TO 160 MPH. 

SAIPAN AND TINIAN AND THE NORTHERN ISLANDS OF ALAMAGAN AND PAGAN LIKELY 
EXPERIENCED CATEGORY 1 TYPHOON WINDS...WHILE ROTA AND GUAM FARTHER 
SOUTH AND AGRIHAN...THE MOST NORTHERN POPULATED ISLAND...EXPERIENCED 
ONLY TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. 

AFTER PASSING THE MARIANA ISLANDS...THE TRACK OF HAGIBIS CHANGED FROM A 
WEST-NORTHWEST ONE TO A NORTHWEST ONE. THE TYPHOON BRIEFLY WEAKENED A 
LITTLE AS IT WENT THROUGH AN EYEWALL-REPLACEMENT-CYCLE. SUPER TYPHOON 
HAGIBIS EXITED THE WFO GUAM AOR AT AROUND 7 PM ON THURSDAY OCT 10 STILL 
MAINTAINING ITS 160 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS.

A. LOWEST SEA LEVEL PRESSURE/MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AND PEAK GUSTS
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METAR OBSERVATIONS...
NOTE: ANEMOMETER HEIGHT IS 10 METERS AND WIND AVERAGING IS 2 MINUTES

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LOCATION  ID     MAX      DATE/     PEAK    DATE/
LAT  LON         SUST     TIME      GUST    TIME
DEG DECIMAL      (KT)     (UTC)     (KT)    (UTC)
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PGUM             42KT (48MPH) 7OCT/1350 UTC (8OCT 150AM CHST)
13.6 144.4E

PGUA 
13.7N 144.5E     50KT (58MPH) 7OCT/1357 UTC (8OCT 157AM CHST)

ROTA - PGRO      NO REPORT; AIRPORT CLOSED
14.1 145.2

ROTA SUTRON      54KT(62MPH) 7OCT/1914UTC (8OCT514AMCHST)   
(SAME LOCATION)  MAX MAY HAVE BEEN GREATER; SPORADIC REPORTING

SAIPAN (CNMI)    73KT (86MPH) 7OCT1920/2020UTC (8OCT520/620AMCHST)
15.2N 145.8E	 PRIVATE DAVIS WEATHER STATION ON WIRELESS RIDGE

TINIAN (CNMI)    NO REPORTS; AIRPORT CLOSED; SUTRON DESTROYED
(15.0N 145.6E)   DURING STY YUTU IN OCT 2018      

CPA: THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON HAGIBIS AS INDICATED BY PGUA DOPPLER 
RADAR PASSED OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF ANATAHAN ISLAND AT ABOUT 1 AM 
TUESDAY MORNING 8 OCT.  THE CPA TO SAIPAN WAS 75 MILES NORTH AT 
APPROXIMATELY 07OCT1418UTC (08OCT218AM CHST). THE CPA FOR TINIAN WAS 85 
MILES NORTH AT 7OCT1418UTC (08OCT218AM CHST).  FOR ROTA THE CPA WAS 150 
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 07OCT1418UTC (08OCT218AM CHST). FOR GUAM 
THE CPA WAS 200 MILES TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 7OCT1418UTC 
(08OCT218AM CHST).

B. MARINE OBSERVATIONS...
NOTE: ANEMOMETER HEIGHT IN METERS AND WIND AVERAGING PERIOD IN
MINUTES INDICATED UNDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND IF KNOWN
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LOCATION  ID    MIN    DATE/     MAX      DATE/     PEAK    DATE/
LAT  LON        PRES   TIME      SUST     TIME      GUST    TIME
DEG DECIMAL     (MB)   (UTC)     (KT)     (UTC)     (KT)    (UTC)
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NOTHING SIGNIFICANT.

C. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
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LOCATION      ID        TIME PERIOD               RAINFALL
LAT LON                                             (IN)   
DEG DECIMAL
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PGUM            07OCT 0000 CHST TO 08OCT 2359 CHST  5.06 INCHES
13.6 144.4E

SAIPAN (CNMI)   07OCT 0000 CHST TO 08OCT 2359 CHST  4.88 INCHES
15.2N 145.8E	PRIVATE DAVIS WEATHER STATION ON WIRELESS RIDGE

CAPITOL HILL    07OCT 0800 CHST TO 08OCT 0800  6.09 INCHES (24 HOURS)
SAIPAN (CNMI)   CNMI HOMELAND SECURITY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE
15. 2 145.8

ROTA HANDAR     07OCT 1114 CHST TO 081514 CHST 5.87 INCHES+ INCOMPLETE
14.1 145.2      

REMARKS: 

D. INLAND FLOODING...NONE REPORTED.
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NO OTHER COMMENTS AVAILABLE AT THIS TIME.
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E. MAXIMUM STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
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LOCATION                      SURGE   TIDE   DATE/   BEACH       
                              (FT)    (FT)   TIME    EROSION     
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VERY HIGH SURF BUT NO SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING OR COASTAL EROSION 
REPORTED.

F. TORNADOES...
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LOCATION                        DATE/         EF SCALE 
LAT LON (DEG DECIMAL)           TIME(UTC)    (IF KNOWN)
DESCRIPTION                                                          
---------------------------------------------------------------------
NONE REPORTED.

G. STORM IMPACTS BY ISLAND...
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LOCATION           DEATHS           INJURIES             EVACUATIONS 
DESCRIPTION
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CNMI                 NONE             NONE KNOWN       NUMBER PENDING   
GUAM                 NONE             NONE                     149
REMARKS: 
CNMI:   DAMAGE ESTIMATES PENDING.
GUAM: PRELIMINARY COSTS:  $335,000 GOVERNMENT ONLY; 
      CROP LOSSES: $90,000

H. REMARKS...

THE FOLLOW BULLETINS WERE ISSUED BY WFO GUAM

  21 - TC PUBLIC ADVISORIES (TCP)...BETWEEN 5 OCT – 10 OCT
  13 - TC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORIES
  14 - HLS TYPHOON LOCAL STATEMENTS
  15 - TCU TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES (RADAR FIXES)
  13 – ADDITIONAL PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS 9ISSUED EVERY 6 HOURS)
  13 – ADDITIONAL EXTENDED SURF FORECASTS
  11 – FLOOD PRODUCTS
  10 – MARINE WEATHER WARNINGS
   2 - SPS SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS FOR THE MARIANAS
   2 - ESF HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOKS FOR MARIANAS
   
NOTE: SMALL CRAFT AND HIGH SURF ADVISORIES ISSUED AFTER TY/TS WARNINGS 
CANCELED.

TIMES IN UTC
05OCT1000 (5OCT  8PM CHST)  TS WATCHES FOR AGRIHAN...PAGAN...ROTA...
                               TINIAN AND SAIPAN
05OCT1000 (5OCT  8PM CHST)  TY WATCH FOR ALAMAGAN
06OCT0400 (06OCT  2PM CHST) TS WARNINGS FOR TINIAN...SAIPAN...ROTA…
                               ALAMAGAN…PAGAN...AGRIHAN
06OCT0400 (06OCT  2PM CHST) TY WATCHES TINIAN...SAIPAN...PAGAN
06OCT 0700 (06OCT 5PM CHST) TY WARNINGS FOR SAIPAN...TINIAN...ALAMAGAN…
                               PAGAN
06OCT0400 (06OCT  2PM CHST) TS WARNING FOR GUAM
08OCT0000 (08OCT 10AM CHST) TS WARNING CANCELED FOR GUAM
08OCT0100 (08OCT 11AM CHST) TS WARNING CANCELED FOR ROTA
08OCT0700 (08OCT 5PM CHST)  TY WARNINGS CANCELED FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN
08OCT1500 (09OCT 2AM CHST)  TY WARNINGS CANCELED FOR ALAMAGAN AND PAGAN
08OCT1500 (09OCT 2AM CHST)  TS WARNING CANCELED FOR AGRIHAN

$$

GUARD