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Displaying AFOS PIL: SPSPQ Product Timestamp: 2019-02-17 09:53 UTC
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751 WWPQ80 PGUM 170953 SPSPQ SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 753 PM ChST Sun Feb 17 2019 PMZ172-173-174-180200- CHUUK-POHNPEI-KOSRAE- 753 PM ChST Sun Feb 17 2019 ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SOUTHEAST OF KOSRAE... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KOSRAE NEAR 2N166E THIS EVENING. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND THIS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A ROBUST TRADE- WIND SURGE NORTH OF THE DISTURBANCE HAS SUSTAINED FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ACROSS KOSRAE AND NEARBY ISLANDS. HEIGHTENED TRADE-WIND CONVERGENCE HAS ALSO TRIGGERED SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE SAME GENERAL AREA. THIS PATTERN WILL PERSIST NEAR KOSRAE THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DRIFT WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND GRADUALLY DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS WILL CAUSE THE FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND SHOWERY WEATHER NEAR KOSRAE TO SHIFT WESTWARD OVER POHNPEI AND NEARBY ISLANDS ON MONDAY...AND CHUUK AND NEARBY ISLANDS ON TUESDAY. RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IF THE DISTURBANCE DEVELOPS FASTER THAN EXPECTED...BOTH WINDS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL INCREASE NEAR CHUUK AND POHNPEI. LARGE TRADE-WIND SWELL AND WIND WAVES WILL SUSTAIN HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OPERATION ACROSS CHUUK...POHNPEI AND KOSRAE STATES MOST OF THIS WEEK. INTER-ISLAND TRAVEL BY SMALL BOATS SHOULD BE POSTPONED UNTIL NEXT WEEK. FOR INFORMATION ON HAZARDOUS SURF...PLEASE REFER TO THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNDER WMO HEADER WHPQ40 PGUM. RESIDENTS FROM CHUUK EASTWARD TO KOSRAE STATES SHOULD MONITOR THIS DISTURBANCE CLOSELY AND HEED THE INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE LATEST FORECAST AND ADVISORIES...VISIT THE WFO GUAM WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GUM/ $$ CHAN
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