National Weather Service Raw Text Product

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PIL:
Start UTC Date @0z:
End UTC Date @0z:
373 
ACUS11 KWNS 101832
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101831 
NCZ000-VAZ000-102000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0914
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0131 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SCENTRAL/SERN VA...NCENTRAL/NERN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 101831Z - 102000Z

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER THE SCENTRAL
VA/NCENTRAL NC IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. A WW WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY
IN THE NEXT HOUR.

LATEST VISIBLE SAT IMAGERY SHOWED INITIAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING
ALONG PARALLEL BOUNDARY LAYER CONVECTION OVER SWRN VA...JUST EAST OF
WW 339. AIRMASS OVER THE REGION REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH
1500-2000 J/KG OF MLCAPE. A SECONDARY BOUNDARY LIKELY ATTRIBUTED TO
OUTFLOW FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM NEAR MOREHEAD CITY
TO DANVILLE. MID LEVEL VERTICAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO SPREAD OVER
THIS REGION DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AS FORECAST
SOUNDINGS/OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES ONLY WEAK INHIBITION
REMAINING. STRONG SHEAR PROFILES SUGGESTS SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE. LOCALIZED BACKED WINDS ALONG AFOREMENTIONED
BOUNDARY OVER SCENTRAL VA/NCENTRAL NC WILL PROVIDE FOR LOW LEVEL
SHEAR ENHANCEMENT AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES.

..CROSBIE.. 05/10/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...RNK...

36128018 37368000 37367860 36617629 35257683 
000 
ACUS11 KWNS 101832
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101831 
NCZ000-VAZ000-102000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0914
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0131 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SCENTRAL/SERN VA...NCENTRAL/NERN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 101831Z - 102000Z

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER THE SCENTRAL
VA/NCENTRAL NC IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. A WW WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY
IN THE NEXT HOUR.

LATEST VISIBLE SAT IMAGERY SHOWED INITIAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING
ALONG PARALLEL BOUNDARY LAYER CONVECTION OVER SWRN VA...JUST EAST OF
WW 339. AIRMASS OVER THE REGION REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH
1500-2000 J/KG OF MLCAPE. A SECONDARY BOUNDARY LIKELY ATTRIBUTED TO
OUTFLOW FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION EXTENDING FROM NEAR MOREHEAD CITY
TO DANVILLE. MID LEVEL VERTICAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO SPREAD OVER
THIS REGION DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AS FORECAST
SOUNDINGS/OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES ONLY WEAK INHIBITION
REMAINING. STRONG SHEAR PROFILES SUGGESTS SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE. LOCALIZED BACKED WINDS ALONG AFOREMENTIONED
BOUNDARY OVER SCENTRAL VA/NCENTRAL NC WILL PROVIDE FOR LOW LEVEL
SHEAR ENHANCEMENT AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES.

..CROSBIE.. 05/10/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...RNK...

36128018 37368000 37367860 36617629 35257683