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PIL:
Start UTC Date @0z:
End UTC Date @0z:
713 
ACUS11 KWNS 081848
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081848 
DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-PAZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-082045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0853
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0148 PM CDT THU MAY 08 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN PA...ERN VA AND MUCH OF MD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 301...

VALID 081848Z - 082045Z

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SEWD AND OUT OF
WW 301 INTO SERN VA AND THE SRN DELMARVA PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT
HOUR. WE WILL MONITOR THIS AREA FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER
WATCH...BUT LIMITED AREAL COVERAGE MAY PRECLUDE ANOTHER WATCH
ISSUANCE.

AIRMASS OVER ERN 2/3RDS OF THE WW 301 CONTINUES TO REMAIN COOL AND
STABLE AND THUS THE SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE MINIMAL OVER THIS
AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WATCH TIME. OVER THE WRN 1/3 OF 
WW 301...SFC TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 70S/LOWER 80S.
THIS AIRMASS WAS SUPPORTING 1000-1500 J/KG OF MLCAPE. LOW LEVEL MASS
CONVERGENCE ALONG AN INVERTED TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST OF A SFC LOW
OFF THE SERN VA COAST WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUE PROPAGATION OF
CONVECTION INTO SERN VA AND THE SRN DELMARVA. REGIONAL VWP/S OVER
SERN VA/SRN DELMARVA SUPPORT SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE
STORMS.

..CROSBIE.. 05/08/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...PBZ...

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