National Weather Service Raw Text Product

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PIL:
Start UTC Date @0z:
End UTC Date @0z:
433 
ACUS11 KWNS 072307
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072306 
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-080100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0829
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0606 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN IND...FAR SRN MI...AND NRN OH...

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 072306Z - 080100Z

THREAT OF ISOLATED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ACROSS NRN
IND...FAR SRN MI...AND NRN OH DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LARGE HAIL
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE ISOLATED STORMS/SUPERCELLS. A
WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

AT 23Z...A 1007MB SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED OVER NWRN IND WITH A WARM
FRONT EXTENDING EWD TO 5 S FWA...30 SW FDY...AND 25 SW OF CAK IN
N-CENTRAL OH. A MOIST SWLY 20-30 KT FLOW IN THE 1-2KM LAYER PER IND
VAD WIND PROFILE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE A FOCUSED AREA OF LIFT AND
INSTABILITY NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT. SURFACE DEWPOINTS SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY WERE GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 60S...LIKELY
CONTRIBUTING TO ELEVATED CAPE VALUES AROUND 2000 J/KG NORTH OF THE
BOUNDARY IN NRN IND.

DEEP-LAYER SHEAR OF 30-35KT IS MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS.
T-STORM OVER PULASKI COUNTY IND AT 23Z IS SUPERCELLULAR AND SHOULD
CONTINUE AN EWD MOVEMENT AROUND 20KT. A ADDITIONAL SUPERCELL OR TWO
IS POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN IND/FAR SRN MI/AND NRN OH THIS EVENING. SINCE
LIFT IS BEING PROVIDED ISENTROPICALLY NORTH OF THE WARM
FRONT...STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ELEVATED OVER COOLER BOUNDARY LAYER IN
PLACE OVER THE DISCUSSION AREA. HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT ELEVATED
INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH ROTATING UPDRAFTS WILL LIKELY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR LARGE HAIL WITH STRONGER VIL CORES.

..BANACOS.. 05/07/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...

40498528 40418635 40478734 40758744 41488692 41768666
42238617 42238513 42108367 41558334 41398261 41248157
40558169 40488258 40498416 
000 
ACUS11 KWNS 072307
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072306 
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-080100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0829
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0606 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN IND...FAR SRN MI...AND NRN OH...

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 072306Z - 080100Z

THREAT OF ISOLATED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ACROSS NRN
IND...FAR SRN MI...AND NRN OH DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LARGE HAIL
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE ISOLATED STORMS/SUPERCELLS. A
WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

AT 23Z...A 1007MB SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED OVER NWRN IND WITH A WARM
FRONT EXTENDING EWD TO 5 S FWA...30 SW FDY...AND 25 SW OF CAK IN
N-CENTRAL OH. A MOIST SWLY 20-30 KT FLOW IN THE 1-2KM LAYER PER IND
VAD WIND PROFILE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE A FOCUSED AREA OF LIFT AND
INSTABILITY NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT. SURFACE DEWPOINTS SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY WERE GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 60S...LIKELY
CONTRIBUTING TO ELEVATED CAPE VALUES AROUND 2000 J/KG NORTH OF THE
BOUNDARY IN NRN IND.

DEEP-LAYER SHEAR OF 30-35KT IS MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS.
T-STORM OVER PULASKI COUNTY IND AT 23Z IS SUPERCELLULAR AND SHOULD
CONTINUE AN EWD MOVEMENT AROUND 20KT. A ADDITIONAL SUPERCELL OR TWO
IS POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN IND/FAR SRN MI/AND NRN OH THIS EVENING. SINCE
LIFT IS BEING PROVIDED ISENTROPICALLY NORTH OF THE WARM
FRONT...STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ELEVATED OVER COOLER BOUNDARY LAYER IN
PLACE OVER THE DISCUSSION AREA. HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT ELEVATED
INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH ROTATING UPDRAFTS WILL LIKELY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR LARGE HAIL WITH STRONGER VIL CORES.

..BANACOS.. 05/07/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...

40498528 40418635 40478734 40758744 41488692 41768666
42238617 42238513 42108367 41558334 41398261 41248157
40558169 40488258 40498416