National Weather Service Raw Text Product

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PIL:
Start UTC Date @0z:
End UTC Date @0z:
478 
ACUS11 KWNS 071922
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071921 
MDZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-072115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0825
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0221 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN PA/WRN MD/NRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 286...

VALID 071921Z - 072115Z

LINE OF CONVECTION WAS INCREASING IN STRENGTH IN THE NW PORTION OF
WW 286. ISOLATED HAIL OR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

VIS SAT IMAGERY SHOWED THAT THE CIRRUS SHIELD HAS THINNED OVER NRN
VA/SRN PA OVER THE LAST COUPLE HOURS. THIS HAS ALLOWED SFC TEMPS TO
WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S WITH SFC DEWPS AROUND 60 CREATING SBCAPE
VALUES AROUND 2000 J/KG. AS THE CONVECTIVE LINE MOVES INTO THIS
HIGHER INSTABILITY...STRENGTHENING SHOULD OCCUR. THE BEST POTENTIAL
FOR SEVERE APPEARS TO BE ACROSS THE SRN PORTION OF THE WW WHERE THE
INSTABILITY IS HIGHER. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WAS AROUND 40 KT ACROSS THE
ENTIRE WW SUGGESTING SEVERE STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE. COLD AIR ALOFT
AND STEEP LAPSE RATES AROUND 700 MB SUGGESTS THE CELLS MAY HAVE A
HAIL POTENTIAL. IN ADDITION...THE STRONGER CELLS WITHIN THE LINE
WILL HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR WIND DAMAGE.

..BROYLES.. 05/07/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...PBZ...

38057871 38907885 40067841 40827871 41287892 41317774
41247705 40417679 39087644 38027619 38007742 38027832 
000 
ACUS11 KWNS 071922
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071921 
MDZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-072115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0825
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0221 PM CDT WED MAY 07 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN PA/WRN MD/NRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 286...

VALID 071921Z - 072115Z

LINE OF CONVECTION WAS INCREASING IN STRENGTH IN THE NW PORTION OF
WW 286. ISOLATED HAIL OR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

VIS SAT IMAGERY SHOWED THAT THE CIRRUS SHIELD HAS THINNED OVER NRN
VA/SRN PA OVER THE LAST COUPLE HOURS. THIS HAS ALLOWED SFC TEMPS TO
WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S WITH SFC DEWPS AROUND 60 CREATING SBCAPE
VALUES AROUND 2000 J/KG. AS THE CONVECTIVE LINE MOVES INTO THIS
HIGHER INSTABILITY...STRENGTHENING SHOULD OCCUR. THE BEST POTENTIAL
FOR SEVERE APPEARS TO BE ACROSS THE SRN PORTION OF THE WW WHERE THE
INSTABILITY IS HIGHER. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WAS AROUND 40 KT ACROSS THE
ENTIRE WW SUGGESTING SEVERE STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE. COLD AIR ALOFT
AND STEEP LAPSE RATES AROUND 700 MB SUGGESTS THE CELLS MAY HAVE A
HAIL POTENTIAL. IN ADDITION...THE STRONGER CELLS WITHIN THE LINE
WILL HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR WIND DAMAGE.

..BROYLES.. 05/07/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...PBZ...

38057871 38907885 40067841 40827871 41287892 41317774
41247705 40417679 39087644 38027619 38007742 38027832