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PIL:
Start UTC Date @0z:
End UTC Date @0z:
000 
ACUS11 KWNS 102115
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102115 
KYZ000-INZ000-OHZ000-102315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2172
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0315 PM CST SUN NOV 10 2002

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/N CNTRL KY...SRN/ERN IND...WRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 743...744...745...

VALID 102115Z - 102315Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS REMAINING VALID PORTION OF
WEATHER WATCHES 743...744...745.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 744
MAY BE REPLACED WITH NEW TORNADO WW SHORTLY.


PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO SOLIDIFY FROM NORTHWEST OHIO
INTO THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL.  ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY ORIENTED
PARALLEL TO SOUTHWESTERLY MEAN FLOW REGIME...BUT GIVEN STRONG
WIND
SEVERE THREAT PERSISTS ACROSS WW AREAS.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WW
744 MAY BE REPLACED WITH NEW TORNADO WW ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO
SHORTLY.


FIELDS/VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES...AND PRESENCE OF SUFFICIENT DRY
AIR IN MID-LEVELS...LINE APPEARS LIKELY TO BREAK DOWN INTO ONE OR
MORE BOWING SEGMENTS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  AS THIS
OCCURS... POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS WILL
INCREASE WITH CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AS IT PROGRESSES EASTWARD
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST INDIANA/OHIO/WESTERN AND
CENTRAL KENTUCKY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.


LONG-LIVED TORNADIC SUPERCELL WHICH PROGRESSED SOUTHEAST THROUGH
EAST OF FORT WAYNE IND...INTO NORTHWEST OHIO...HAS MERGED INTO
SQUALL LINE.  BUT ADDITIONAL ISOLATED SUPERCELLS...WITH ENHANCED
THREAT FOR TORNADOES...WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...MOSTLY ALONG 50 KT
LOW-LEVEL JET AXIS EXTENDING FROM NEAR NASHVILLE TN INTO AREAS
EAST OF LEXINGTON KY AND COLUMBUS OH.

..KERR.. 11/10/2002

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

37718818 38408688 39368567 40548457 41228431 41588311
41398163 40578160 39668219 38378355 37438484 37018610
36458983 
982 
ACUS11 KWNS 102115
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102115 
KYZ000-INZ000-OHZ000-102315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2172
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0315 PM CST SUN NOV 10 2002

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/N CNTRL KY...SRN/ERN IND...WRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 743...744...745...

VALID 102115Z - 102315Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS REMAINING VALID PORTION OF
WEATHER WATCHES 743...744...745.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 744
MAY BE REPLACED WITH NEW TORNADO WW SHORTLY.


PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO SOLIDIFY FROM NORTHWEST OHIO
INTO THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL.  ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY ORIENTED
PARALLEL TO SOUTHWESTERLY MEAN FLOW REGIME...BUT GIVEN STRONG
WIND
SEVERE THREAT PERSISTS ACROSS WW AREAS.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WW
744 MAY BE REPLACED WITH NEW TORNADO WW ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO
SHORTLY.


FIELDS/VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES...AND PRESENCE OF SUFFICIENT DRY
AIR IN MID-LEVELS...LINE APPEARS LIKELY TO BREAK DOWN INTO ONE OR
MORE BOWING SEGMENTS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  AS THIS
OCCURS... POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS WILL
INCREASE WITH CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AS IT PROGRESSES EASTWARD
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST INDIANA/OHIO/WESTERN AND
CENTRAL KENTUCKY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.


LONG-LIVED TORNADIC SUPERCELL WHICH PROGRESSED SOUTHEAST THROUGH
EAST OF FORT WAYNE IND...INTO NORTHWEST OHIO...HAS MERGED INTO
SQUALL LINE.  BUT ADDITIONAL ISOLATED SUPERCELLS...WITH ENHANCED
THREAT FOR TORNADOES...WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...MOSTLY ALONG 50 KT
LOW-LEVEL JET AXIS EXTENDING FROM NEAR NASHVILLE TN INTO AREAS
EAST OF LEXINGTON KY AND COLUMBUS OH.

..KERR.. 11/10/2002

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

37718818 38408688 39368567 40548457 41228431 41588311
41398163 40578160 39668219 38378355 37438484 37018610
36458983