National Weather Service Raw Text Product

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PIL:
Start UTC Date @0z:
End UTC Date @0z:
000 
ACUS11 KWNS 102014
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102014 
KYZ000-TNZ000-102215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2171
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0214 PM CST SUN NOV 10 2002

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL KY/MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 102014Z - 102215Z

SEVERE POTENTIAL IS INCREASING LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  NEW WWS
INCLUDING CENTRAL/PARTS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE
WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN AN HOUR OR SO.


DEEPENING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING ACROSS MIDDLE
TENNESSEE NEAR NASHVILLE SUGGESTS CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS
WEAKENING IN WARM SECTOR ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY.	SURFACE
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED TO AROUND 80F...WITH LOWER/MID 60S DEW
POINTS CONTRIBUTING TO MODERATE INSTABILITY.  AS CAP WEAKENS
FURTHER...CAPE UP TO 2000 J/KG WILL SUPPORT VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS IN
STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT .	A FEW SUPERCELLS ARE
LIKELY...WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY WHERE WARM ADVECTION BECOMES MAXIMIZED
ALONG LOW-LEVEL JET AXIS EXTENDING FROM NEAR NASHVILLE TN INTO
AREAS NEAR/EAST OF LEXINGTON KY.

..KERR.. 11/10/2002

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

36308730 37018667 37748594 38318550 38578446 38008396
37388416 36638480 35758548 35238665 35308751 35688763 
143 
ACUS11 KWNS 102014
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102014 
KYZ000-TNZ000-102215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2171
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0214 PM CST SUN NOV 10 2002

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL KY/MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 102014Z - 102215Z

SEVERE POTENTIAL IS INCREASING LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  NEW WWS
INCLUDING CENTRAL/PARTS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE
WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN AN HOUR OR SO.


DEEPENING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING ACROSS MIDDLE
TENNESSEE NEAR NASHVILLE SUGGESTS CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS
WEAKENING IN WARM SECTOR ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY.	SURFACE
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED TO AROUND 80F...WITH LOWER/MID 60S DEW
POINTS CONTRIBUTING TO MODERATE INSTABILITY.  AS CAP WEAKENS
FURTHER...CAPE UP TO 2000 J/KG WILL SUPPORT VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS IN
STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT .	A FEW SUPERCELLS ARE
LIKELY...WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY WHERE WARM ADVECTION BECOMES MAXIMIZED
ALONG LOW-LEVEL JET AXIS EXTENDING FROM NEAR NASHVILLE TN INTO
AREAS NEAR/EAST OF LEXINGTON KY.

..KERR.. 11/10/2002

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

36308730 37018667 37748594 38318550 38578446 38008396
37388416 36638480 35758548 35238665 35308751 35688763