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Start UTC Date @0z:
End UTC Date @0z:
000
ACUS11 KWNS 281116
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281115
KYZ000-TNZ000-WVZ000-VAZ000-281300-

SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0541 FOR CNTRL/ERN KY...MIDDLE TN EWD INTO
THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 165...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...

SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE EVOLVING TO A DAMAGING WIND EVENT
ACROSS ECNTRL KY ATTM.  SEVERAL BOW ECHOS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN A
LINE OF TSTMS...LOCATED FROM EAST OF LEX TO 60 NE BWG.  PAH 88D VWP
SHOWS STRONG DEEP LAYER WLY FLOW AOA 50-60 KTS AND A FEW DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED AS THE LINE MOVES INTO THE SERN KY
COALFIELDS DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.  ISOLD TORNADOES ARE STILL
POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY IN AREAS NEAR AND NW OF LOZ.
FARTHER EAST...FROM THE WRN LOWLANDS OF WV SWD INTO THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU...RICH GULF MOISTURE RETURN HAS BEEN INTERCEPTED BY THE
SQUALL LINE WITH A MUCH MORE STABLE AIR MASS IN THE MOUNTAINS. 
THUS...WHILE ISOLD WIND DAMAGE MAY OCCUR...THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
DIMINISH AS THE STORMS MOVE EAST OF WT165 AND ANOTHER WW PROBABLY
WILL NOT BE REQUIRED.

FARTHER SOUTH...ACROSS TN...A COUPLE OF SUPERCELLS CONTINUE TO
MIGRATE ESEWD INVOF BNA.  THESE TSTMS STILL RESIDE IN A MOIST AIR
MASS WHERE DEW POINTS ARE IN THE UPPER 60S.  GIVEN LOW LEVEL STORM
RELATIVE HELICITY VALUES IN EXCESS OF 300 M2/S2 DERIVED FROM THE
NASHVILLE 88D...TORNADOES ARE STILL A POSSIBILITY ALONG WITH
DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.  THE
STORMS PROBABLY WILL WEAKEN AS THEY ENCOUNTER THE MORE STABLE AIR
MASS LOCATED ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.

..RACY.. 04/28/02
459 
ACUS11 KWNS 281116
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281115
KYZ000-TNZ000-WVZ000-VAZ000-281300-

SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0541 FOR CNTRL/ERN KY...MIDDLE TN EWD INTO
THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 165...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...

SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE EVOLVING TO A DAMAGING WIND EVENT
ACROSS ECNTRL KY ATTM.  SEVERAL BOW ECHOS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN A
LINE OF TSTMS...LOCATED FROM EAST OF LEX TO 60 NE BWG.  PAH 88D VWP
SHOWS STRONG DEEP LAYER WLY FLOW AOA 50-60 KTS AND A FEW DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED AS THE LINE MOVES INTO THE SERN KY
COALFIELDS DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.  ISOLD TORNADOES ARE STILL
POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY IN AREAS NEAR AND NW OF LOZ.
FARTHER EAST...FROM THE WRN LOWLANDS OF WV SWD INTO THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU...RICH GULF MOISTURE RETURN HAS BEEN INTERCEPTED BY THE
SQUALL LINE WITH A MUCH MORE STABLE AIR MASS IN THE MOUNTAINS. 
THUS...WHILE ISOLD WIND DAMAGE MAY OCCUR...THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
DIMINISH AS THE STORMS MOVE EAST OF WT165 AND ANOTHER WW PROBABLY
WILL NOT BE REQUIRED.

FARTHER SOUTH...ACROSS TN...A COUPLE OF SUPERCELLS CONTINUE TO
MIGRATE ESEWD INVOF BNA.  THESE TSTMS STILL RESIDE IN A MOIST AIR
MASS WHERE DEW POINTS ARE IN THE UPPER 60S.  GIVEN LOW LEVEL STORM
RELATIVE HELICITY VALUES IN EXCESS OF 300 M2/S2 DERIVED FROM THE
NASHVILLE 88D...TORNADOES ARE STILL A POSSIBILITY ALONG WITH
DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.  THE
STORMS PROBABLY WILL WEAKEN AS THEY ENCOUNTER THE MORE STABLE AIR
MASS LOCATED ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.

..RACY.. 04/28/02